Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 25/07, 17:00

Prediction: Huachipato (W) vs Deportes Iquique (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Huachipato (W)1.23

Deportes Iquique (W)1.07

1X2

39% 29% 31%

Huachipato (W) Draw Deportes Iquique (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Huachipato (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWWLDW

Deportes Iquique (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLDLWW

Head-to-head

Huachipato (W) 2–2 Deportes Iquique (W) (4 last)

Deportes Iquique (W)1-0Huachipato (W)
Huachipato (W)1-0Deportes Iquique (W)
Deportes Iquique (W)1-0Huachipato (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Huachipato (W) 1532 · Deportes Iquique (W) 1467

	Huachipato (W)	Draw	Deportes Iquique (W)
Our model	38%	31%	31%
Market	40%	28%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Huachipato (W) (rating 1532 vs 1467).
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Huachipato (W)	Deportes Iquique (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	0.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/38/25%	11/56/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	1.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.4	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.20

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:08 +21’	2.25	3.20	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Huachipato (W) 2–0–2 Deportes Iquique (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women	Deportes Iquique (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Huachipato (W)
17/08/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Huachipato (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Deportes Iquique (W)
16/03/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Deportes Iquique (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Huachipato (W)
12/11/22 Chile Primera Division Women	Deportes Iquique (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Huachipato (W)

Standings · Chile Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo (W)	16	15	1	0	65	2	46
2	Universidad de Chile (W)	16	13	2	1	50	12	41
3	Universidad Catolica (W)	16	13	0	3	34	10	39
4	Coquimbo Unido (W)	16	8	4	4	22	11	28
5	Union Espanola (W)	15	7	4	4	17	13	25
6	Huachipato (W)	15	6	3	6	17	26	21
7	Palestino (W)	15	5	4	6	22	23	19
8	Deportes Iquique (W)	15	5	2	8	17	22	17
9	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	16	4	3	9	12	29	15
10	Magallanes (W)	16	4	2	10	13	33	14
11	Santiago Wanderers (W)	16	3	4	9	11	24	13
12	Deportes Temuco (W)	16	2	1	13	13	46	7
13	Deportes Recoleta (W)	16	2	0	14	16	58	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Huachipato (W)	Deportes Iquique (W)
Magallanes (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Colo Colo (W)	0-7 L	0-2 L
Deportes Recoleta (W)	1-0 W	4-0 W
Union Espanola (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Universidad de Concepcion (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Iquique (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Huachipato (W)

LWWDLWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	3-2	7	2	W
03/07	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
26/06	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-4	0-7	1	1	L
20/06	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
13/06	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
31/05	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-5	2	1	L
23/05	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/05	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
13/05	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	1-0	–	–	W
09/05	Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-1	5	6	L

Deportes Iquique (W)

LWLLLLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/07	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
04/07	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	4-0	–	–	W
27/06	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
22/06	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
14/06	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
30/05	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
17/05	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-1	0	5	L
13/05	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
09/05	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
03/05	Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	1-3	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Huachipato (W) vs Deportes Iquique (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Huachipato (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Huachipato (W) 39%, draw 29%, Deportes Iquique (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Huachipato (W) vs Deportes Iquique (W)?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Huachipato (W) 1.23 · Deportes Iquique (W) 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Huachipato (W) vs Deportes Iquique (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.