Football · El Salvador Apertura · 10/09, 03:00

Prediction: CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Cacahuatique

Team pages: CD Luis Angel Firpo · CD Cacahuatique

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

CD Luis Angel Firpo1.96

CD Cacahuatique0.87

1X2

62% 23% 15%

CD Luis Angel Firpo Draw CD Cacahuatique

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Luis Angel Firpo 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWDWLW

CD Cacahuatique 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWDDDLDL

Head-to-head

CD Luis Angel Firpo 5–1–0 CD Cacahuatique (6 last)

CD Luis Angel Firpo1-0CD Cacahuatique
CD Cacahuatique0-1CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Cacahuatique1-3CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Luis Angel Firpo3-0CD Cacahuatique
CD Cacahuatique1-3CD Luis Angel Firpo
CD Cacahuatique1-1CD Luis Angel Firpo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Luis Angel Firpo 1589 · CD Cacahuatique 1414

	CD Luis Angel Firpo	Draw	CD Cacahuatique
Our model	62%	23%	15%
Market	62%	23%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Luis Angel Firpo (rating 1589 vs 1414).
H2H favours CD Luis Angel Firpo: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Luis Angel Firpo	CD Cacahuatique
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.6	1.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.6	4.9 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.44

X3.90

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:04 +7’	1.44	3.90	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Luis Angel Firpo 5–1–0 CD Cacahuatique

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Cacahuatique
25/02/26 El Salvador Cup	CD Cacahuatique	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Luis Angel Firpo
04/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	1-3 HT 1-0	CD Luis Angel Firpo
12/10/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Luis Angel Firpo	3-0 HT 0-0	CD Cacahuatique
10/08/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	1-3 HT 1-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo
03/05/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD Cacahuatique	1-1 HT 0-1	CD Luis Angel Firpo

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD FAS	8	5	1	2	14	7	16
2	Internacional Santa Tecla	8	4	3	1	12	6	15
3	CD Luis Angel Firpo	7	4	2	1	12	4	14
4	Municipal Limeno	8	4	1	3	12	9	13
5	AD Isidro Metapan	8	4	1	3	11	8	13
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	8	3	3	2	10	10	12
7	Alianza FC	7	2	3	2	9	9	9
8	Atlético Balboa	8	2	3	3	8	11	9
9	CD Aguila	8	1	4	3	12	13	7
10	CD Cacahuatique	8	1	4	3	11	14	7
11	Fuerte San Francisco	8	1	3	4	5	13	6
12	CD INCA Aruba	8	1	2	5	4	16	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Luis Angel Firpo	CD Cacahuatique
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-0 W	1-2 L
CD INCA Aruba	0-0 D	1-1 D
Municipal Limeno	2-0 W	1-3 L
Fuerte San Francisco	4-0 W	0-0 D
CD Aguila	1-1 D	2-2 D
Alianza FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	0 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Luis Angel Firpo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Luis Angel Firpo

WLDDWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	3-0	3-0	6	5	W
31/08	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	0-3	1-3	12	5	L
24/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-0	1-0	0	1	W
17/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
09/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
30/07	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
26/07	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
21/12	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
14/12	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
07/12	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-1	3	12	W

CD Cacahuatique

LLLWDDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-2	1-2	6	10	L
29/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
22/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
16/08	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
09/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
02/08	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-2	7	6	D
28/07	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	2-2	4-2	7	5	W
25/07	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-4	4	3	L
14/12	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
07/12	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	0-2	1-2	0	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Cacahuatique?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Luis Angel Firpo win (62%). Probabilities: CD Luis Angel Firpo 62%, draw 23%, CD Cacahuatique 15%.

How many goals are expected in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Cacahuatique?

The model expects 2.83 goals (CD Luis Angel Firpo 1.96 · CD Cacahuatique 0.87), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Cacahuatique?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.