Football · El Salvador Apertura · 02/08, 23:00
Prediction: CD Aguila vs CD Cacahuatique
Team pages: CD Aguila · CD Cacahuatique
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
CD Aguila1.69
CD Cacahuatique1.23
1X2
CD Aguila
Draw
CD Cacahuatique
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Aguila
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
CD Cacahuatique
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Aguila
2–3–1
CD Cacahuatique
(6 last)
- CD Cacahuatique0-0CD Aguila
- CD Aguila1-1CD Cacahuatique
- CD Cacahuatique1-2CD Aguila
- CD Aguila0-3CD Cacahuatique
- CD Aguila4-2CD Cacahuatique
- CD Cacahuatique0-0CD Aguila
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Aguila 1508 · CD Cacahuatique 1474
| CD Aguila | Draw | CD Cacahuatique | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CD Aguila: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Aguila | CD Cacahuatique | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0 | 6.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Aguila 2–3–1 CD Cacahuatique
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Cacahuatique | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Aguila |
| 01/03/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Aguila | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CD Cacahuatique |
| 09/11/25 El Salvador Apertura | CD Cacahuatique | 1-2 HT 1-2 | CD Aguila |
| 07/09/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD Aguila | 0-3 HT 0-2 | CD Cacahuatique |
| 15/03/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD Aguila | 4-2 HT 2-1 | CD Cacahuatique |
| 19/01/25 El Salvador Clausura | CD Cacahuatique | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Aguila |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD Isidro Metapan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Alianza FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | CD Cacahuatique | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 5 | CD FAS | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Municipal Limeno | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | CD Aguila | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 8 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Atlético Balboa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Fuerte San Francisco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | CD INCA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Aguila
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | CD FAS El Salvador Clausura |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 12 | L |
| 10/05 | Alianza FC El Salvador Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 06/05 | Alianza FC El Salvador Clausura |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/04 | AD Izalco El Salvador Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
CD Cacahuatique
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
2-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura |
1-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | CD FAS El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 12 | D |
| 07/05 | CD FAS El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | CD Hercules El Salvador Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/04 | CD FAS El Salvador Clausura |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 15/04 | CD Hercules El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 12/04 | AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Aguila vs CD Cacahuatique?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Aguila win (47%). Probabilities: CD Aguila 47%, draw 27%, CD Cacahuatique 26%.
How many goals are expected in CD Aguila vs CD Cacahuatique?
The model expects 2.92 goals (CD Aguila 1.69 · CD Cacahuatique 1.23), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Aguila vs CD Cacahuatique?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.