Football · El Salvador Apertura · 13/09, 03:00

Prediction: CD FAS vs Alianza FC

Team pages: CD FAS · Alianza FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

CD FAS1.49

Alianza FC0.99

1X2

48% 28% 24%

CD FAS Draw Alianza FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD FAS 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Alianza FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CD FAS 2–2–2 Alianza FC (6 last)

Alianza FC0-2CD FAS
CD FAS3-1Alianza FC
CD FAS2-2Alianza FC
Alianza FC2-0CD FAS
Alianza FC1-0CD FAS
CD FAS1-1Alianza FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD FAS 1567 · Alianza FC 1506

	CD FAS	Draw	Alianza FC
Our model	47%	29%	24%
Market	48%	27%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD FAS (rating 1567 vs 1506).
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD FAS	Alianza FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.1	2.7 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.25

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.91
X	3.30 → 3.25▼	Bet365 3.25
2	3.90 → 3.60▼	Pinn 3.91 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:57 +2’	1.75	3.30	3.90
03:23 +2’	1.85▲	3.25▼	3.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:59	1.91	3.19	3.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD FAS 2–2–2 Alianza FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 El Salvador Clausura	Alianza FC	0-2 HT 0-1	CD FAS
15/02/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD FAS	3-1 HT 2-0	Alianza FC
26/10/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD FAS	2-2 HT 2-2	Alianza FC
25/08/25 El Salvador Clausura	Alianza FC	2-0 HT 1-0	CD FAS
06/04/25 El Salvador Clausura	Alianza FC	1-0 HT 1-0	CD FAS
09/02/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD FAS	1-1 HT 0-1	Alianza FC

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD FAS	8	5	1	2	14	7	16
2	AD Isidro Metapan	9	5	1	3	13	9	16
3	Internacional Santa Tecla	8	4	3	1	12	6	15
4	CD Luis Angel Firpo	7	4	2	1	12	4	14
5	Municipal Limeno	9	4	2	3	12	9	14
6	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	9	3	3	3	11	12	12
7	Alianza FC	7	2	3	2	9	9	9
8	Atlético Balboa	9	2	3	4	8	12	9
9	CD Aguila	9	1	5	3	12	13	8
10	CD INCA Aruba	9	2	2	5	5	16	8
11	CD Cacahuatique	8	1	4	3	11	14	7
12	Fuerte San Francisco	8	1	3	4	5	13	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD FAS	Alianza FC
CD Luis Angel Firpo	3-1 W	0-0 D
CD Aguila	1-0 W	2-2 D
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-2 L	2-2 D
Atlético Balboa	1-1 D	2-0 W
AD Isidro Metapan	0-2 L	0-2 L
CD Cacahuatique	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Alianza FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD FAS

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
31/08	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	3-0	3-1	9	5	W
23/08	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
17/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-2	9	5	L
10/08	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-1	8	3	D
03/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
31/07	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-2	0-2	2	8	L
25/07	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-1	3-1	9	5	W
30/11	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
23/11	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	2-2	3-2	7	9	W

Alianza FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-2	5	9	D
30/08	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-0	11	4	W
26/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
23/08	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
16/08	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
09/08	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-2	4	0	L
26/07	CD INCA El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-1	5	5	W
21/12	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
14/12	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
07/12	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	2-0	2-1	5	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD FAS vs Alianza FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD FAS win (48%). Probabilities: CD FAS 48%, draw 28%, Alianza FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in CD FAS vs Alianza FC?

The model expects 2.48 goals (CD FAS 1.49 · Alianza FC 0.99), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD FAS vs Alianza FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.