Football · El Salvador Apertura · 01/10, 04:00

Prediction: CD FAS vs AD Isidro Metapan

Team pages: CD FAS · AD Isidro Metapan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

CD FAS1.5

AD Isidro Metapan0.96

1X2

49% 28% 23%

CD FAS Draw AD Isidro Metapan

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD FAS 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWWDWW

AD Isidro Metapan 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLLWDW

Head-to-head

CD FAS 3–1–2 AD Isidro Metapan (6 last)

AD Isidro Metapan2-0CD FAS
AD Isidro Metapan0-3CD FAS
CD FAS2-2AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan2-3CD FAS
CD FAS1-0AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan3-1CD FAS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD FAS 1575 · AD Isidro Metapan 1511

	CD FAS	Draw	AD Isidro Metapan
Our model	49%	29%	23%
Market	49%	28%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD FAS (rating 1575 vs 1511).
H2H favours CD FAS: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD FAS	AD Isidro Metapan
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.4	2.4 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.10

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 2.07
X	3.30 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.60 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 14.1% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:08 +12’	1.80	3.30	3.80
15:12 +12’	1.80	3.10▼	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:24	2.07	2.56	4.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD FAS 3–1–2 AD Isidro Metapan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/26 El Salvador Apertura	AD Isidro Metapan	2-0 HT 2-0	CD FAS
15/03/26 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	0-3 HT 0-3	CD FAS
18/01/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD FAS	2-2 HT 1-1	AD Isidro Metapan
21/09/25 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	2-3 HT 0-1	CD FAS
20/07/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD FAS	1-0 HT 1-0	AD Isidro Metapan
13/04/25 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	3-1 HT 1-1	CD FAS

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD FAS	11	7	2	2	21	10	23
2	AD Isidro Metapan	12	7	2	3	17	10	23
3	CD Luis Angel Firpo	11	6	3	2	18	7	21
4	Internacional Santa Tecla	12	5	6	1	17	9	21
5	Municipal Limeno	12	5	2	5	17	15	17
6	Alianza FC	10	3	5	2	15	14	14
7	CD Aguila	12	3	5	4	16	16	14
8	Atlético Balboa	12	3	4	5	13	17	13
9	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	12	3	4	5	12	16	13
10	CD INCA Aruba	12	3	3	6	9	21	12
11	CD Cacahuatique	12	1	5	6	11	20	8
12	Fuerte San Francisco	12	1	5	6	8	19	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD FAS	AD Isidro Metapan
Municipal Limeno	3-1 W	1-3 L
CD Cacahuatique	2-0 W	2-0 W
Internacional Santa Tecla	2-2 D	0-0 D
Fuerte San Francisco	1-0 W	0-1 L
CD Aguila	1-0 W	2-1 W
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1-2 L	2-1 W
Atlético Balboa	1-1 D	0-0 D
CD INCA Aruba	4-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD FAS (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD FAS

LWDLWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
19/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
17/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	2-1	2-2	2	6	D
05/09	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
31/08	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura	3-0	3-1	9	5	W
23/08	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
17/08	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	0-0	1-2	9	5	L
10/08	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	1-1	1-1	8	3	D
03/08	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
31/07	AD Isidro Metapan El Salvador Apertura	0-2	0-2	2	8	L

AD Isidro Metapan

WDWLWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
20/09	Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
09/09	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Apertura	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
06/09	CD INCA Aruba El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	12	6	L
29/08	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-1	1-3	13	3	L
23/08	Alianza FC El Salvador Apertura	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
15/08	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Apertura	0-1	0-1	8	0	L
08/08	CD Aguila El Salvador Apertura	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
02/08	Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
31/07	CD FAS El Salvador Apertura	2-0	2-0	5	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD FAS vs AD Isidro Metapan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD FAS win (49%). Probabilities: CD FAS 49%, draw 28%, AD Isidro Metapan 23%.

How many goals are expected in CD FAS vs AD Isidro Metapan?

The model expects 2.45 goals (CD FAS 1.5 · AD Isidro Metapan 0.96), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD FAS vs AD Isidro Metapan?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.