Football · Italy Serie A Women · 14/11, 12:30

Prediction: Napoli (W) vs AC Milan (W)

Team pages: Napoli (W) · AC Milan (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Napoli (W)1.14
AC Milan (W)1.46
1X2
29% 27% 44%
Napoli (W) Draw AC Milan (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Napoli (W) 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DLDDLLWDLD
AC Milan (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
DLWLLWLWLL
Head-to-head
Napoli (W) 0–2–4 AC Milan (W) (6 last)
  • AC Milan (W)0-0Napoli (W)
  • Napoli (W)0-2AC Milan (W)
  • AC Milan (W)6-0Napoli (W)
  • Napoli (W)0-1AC Milan (W)
  • Napoli (W)1-1AC Milan (W)
  • AC Milan (W)3-2Napoli (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Napoli (W) 1455 · AC Milan (W) 1485
Napoli (W)DrawAC Milan (W)
Our model28%28%43%
Market30%26%44%
Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours AC Milan (W): 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Napoli (W)AC Milan (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.21.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/80/10%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.82.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 0.11.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Napoli (W) 0–2–4 AC Milan (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Italy Serie A Women
AC Milan (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Napoli (W)
06/12/25
Italy Serie A Women
Napoli (W)0-2
HT 0-0
AC Milan (W)
12/01/25
Italy Serie A Women
AC Milan (W)6-0
HT 5-0
Napoli (W)
06/10/24
Italy Serie A Women
Napoli (W)0-1
HT 0-0
AC Milan (W)
12/05/24
Italy Serie A Women
Napoli (W)1-1
HT 0-1
AC Milan (W)
14/04/24
Italy Serie A Women
AC Milan (W)3-2
HT 1-0
Napoli (W)

Standings · Italy Serie A Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Roma (W) 6600 21718
2 Inter Milan (W) 6510 13016
3 Como 1907 (W) 6321 131111
4 Fiorentina (W) 6312 10610
5 Juventus (W) 6303 12149
6 Como (W) 6222 458
7 Ternana (W) 6213 5117
8 AC Milan (W) 6204 8136
9 Napoli (W) 6123 785
10 Parma (W) 6123 375
11 Lazio (W) 6033 173
12 Sassuolo (W) 6024 5132

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNapoli (W)AC Milan (W)
Roma (W) 1-2 L 2-4 L
Inter Milan (W) 0-0 D 0-3 L
Como 1907 (W) 1-2 L 1-4 L
Juventus (W) 1-3 L 2-1 W
Como (W) 0-0 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Napoli (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Napoli (W)

DLDDLLWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Lazio (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 71 D
01/11 Roma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 1-2 91 L
24/10 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 37 D
17/10 Sassuolo (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-0 4-1 32 W
04/10 Como 1907 (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 1-2 23 L
26/09 Juventus (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 1-3 30 L
17/05 Sassuolo (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 1-1 62 D
09/05 Como (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 81 D
02/05 Juventus (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-2 2-3 01 L
25/04 AC Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 72 D

AC Milan (W)

DLWLLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-3 33 L
01/11 Como (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-1 21 L
24/10 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-0 3-0 113 W
18/10 Roma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-1 2-4 92 L
04/10 Juventus (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 2-1 62 W
26/09 Como 1907 (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-2 1-4 102 L
17/05 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-1 22 L
10/05 Parma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 3-1 91 W
02/05 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 0-1 51 L
25/04 Napoli (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 62 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Napoli (W) vs AC Milan (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AC Milan (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Napoli (W) 29%, draw 27%, AC Milan (W) 44%.

How many goals are expected in Napoli (W) vs AC Milan (W)?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Napoli (W) 1.14 · AC Milan (W) 1.46), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Napoli (W) vs AC Milan (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.