Prediction: Roma (W) vs Parma (W)
Team pages: Roma (W) · Parma (W)
- Parma (W)3-3Roma (W)
- Roma (W)4-0Parma (W)
- Parma (W)2-3Roma (W)
- Roma (W)5-0Parma (W)
| Roma (W) | Draw | Parma (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 17% | 8% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roma (W) (rating 1627 vs 1432).
- H2H favours Roma (W): 3-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Roma (W) | Parma (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.5 | 1.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roma (W) 3–1–0 Parma (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Italy Serie A Women | Parma (W) | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Roma (W) |
| 04/10/25 Italy Serie A Women | Roma (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Parma (W) |
| 22/01/23 Italy Serie A Women | Parma (W) | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Roma (W) |
| 02/10/22 Italy Serie A Women | Roma (W) | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Parma (W) |
Standings · Italy Serie A Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma (W) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Inter Milan (W) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 3 | Como 1907 (W) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus (W) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 9 |
| 6 | Como (W) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Ternana (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
| 8 | AC Milan (W) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 9 | Napoli (W) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | Parma (W) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 11 | Lazio (W) | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Sassuolo (W) | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Roma (W) | Parma (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Juventus (W) | 5-2 W | 1-3 L |
| AC Milan (W) | 4-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Lazio (W) | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Sassuolo (W) | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Ternana (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Roma (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roma (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Como 1907 (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/11 | Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
4-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-2 | 4-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Parma (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/10 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/10 | Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roma (W) vs Parma (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Roma (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Roma (W) 75%, draw 17%, Parma (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in Roma (W) vs Parma (W)?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Roma (W) 2.5 · Parma (W) 0.73), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Roma (W) vs Parma (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.