Football · Italy Serie A Women · 15/11, 12:30

Prediction: Sassuolo (W) vs Ternana (W)

Team pages: Sassuolo (W) · Ternana (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Sassuolo (W)1.31

Ternana (W)1.19

1X2

39% 28% 33%

Sassuolo (W) Draw Ternana (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sassuolo (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

WDLDLLLDDL

Ternana (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWWLDL

Head-to-head

Sassuolo (W) 1–2–1 Ternana (W) (4 last)

Sassuolo (W)2-0Ternana (W)
Ternana (W)1-1Sassuolo (W)
Sassuolo (W)0-1Ternana (W)
Sassuolo (W)1-1Ternana (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sassuolo (W) 1465 · Ternana (W) 1461

	Sassuolo (W)	Draw	Ternana (W)
Our model	38%	29%	32%
Market	39%	27%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sassuolo (W)	Ternana (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.7	0.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.6	0.7 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.30

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:09 +5’	2.30	3.30	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sassuolo (W) 1–2–1 Ternana (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Italy Serie A Cup Women	Sassuolo (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Ternana (W)
22/03/26 Italy Serie A Women	Ternana (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Sassuolo (W)
15/11/25 Italy Serie A Women	Sassuolo (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Ternana (W)
07/09/25 Italy Serie A Cup Women	Sassuolo (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Ternana (W)

Standings · Italy Serie A Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Roma (W)	6	6	0	0	21	7	18
2	Inter Milan (W)	6	5	1	0	13	0	16
3	Como 1907 (W)	6	3	2	1	13	11	11
4	Fiorentina (W)	6	3	1	2	10	6	10
5	Juventus (W)	6	3	0	3	12	14	9
6	Como (W)	6	2	2	2	4	5	8
7	Ternana (W)	6	2	1	3	5	11	7
8	AC Milan (W)	6	2	0	4	8	13	6
9	Napoli (W)	6	1	2	3	7	8	5
10	Parma (W)	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
11	Lazio (W)	6	0	3	3	1	7	3
12	Sassuolo (W)	6	0	2	4	5	13	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sassuolo (W)	Ternana (W)
Parma (W)	0-0 D	2-1 W
Como 1907 (W)	2-2 D	1-1 D
Fiorentina (W)	0-2 L	0-4 L
Roma (W)	1-3 L	0-2 L
Lazio (W)	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sassuolo (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sassuolo (W)

WDLDLLLDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women	1-0	1-2	1	0	L
31/10	Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
25/10	Como 1907 (W) Italy Serie A Women	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
17/10	Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-2	1-4	4	2	L
03/10	Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
27/09	Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-1	1-3	3	2	L
17/05	Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
10/05	Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
02/05	Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
25/04	Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women	2-0	3-0	3	3	W

Ternana (W)

DLLWLWWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-2	0-4	3	3	L
31/10	Como 1907 (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-1	1-1	1	1	D
24/10	AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-2	0-3	1	3	L
17/10	Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
03/10	Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
27/09	Como (W) Italy Serie A Women	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
17/05	AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
10/05	Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
02/05	Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
26/04	Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women	2-1	2-2	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sassuolo (W) vs Ternana (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sassuolo (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Sassuolo (W) 39%, draw 28%, Ternana (W) 33%.

How many goals are expected in Sassuolo (W) vs Ternana (W)?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Sassuolo (W) 1.31 · Ternana (W) 1.19), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sassuolo (W) vs Ternana (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.