Football · South Africa Premier · 01/08, 18:00
Prediction: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Mamelodi Sundowns1.85
Marumo Gallants0.84
1X2
Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw
Marumo Gallants
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mamelodi Sundowns
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Marumo Gallants
0-7-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mamelodi Sundowns
4–2–0
Marumo Gallants
(6 last)
- Mamelodi Sundowns3-1Marumo Gallants
- Mamelodi Sundowns0-0Marumo Gallants
- Marumo Gallants1-1Mamelodi Sundowns
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mamelodi Sundowns (rating 1557 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Mamelodi Sundowns: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mamelodi Sundowns | Marumo Gallants | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.6 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mamelodi Sundowns 4–2–0 Marumo Gallants
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 South Africa Premier | Mamelodi Sundowns | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Marumo Gallants |
| 04/10/25 South Africa League Cup | Mamelodi Sundowns | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Marumo Gallants |
| 17/09/25 South Africa Premier | Marumo Gallants | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 19/02/25 South Africa Premier | Marumo Gallants | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 10/11/24 South Africa League Cup | Marumo Gallants | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 24/09/24 South Africa Premier | Mamelodi Sundowns | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Marumo Gallants |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amazulu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chippa United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Durban City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kaizer Chiefs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kruger United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Golden Arrows | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Marumo Gallants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Milford FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Polokwane City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Richards Bay FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sekhukhune United FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Siwelele FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stellenbosch FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | TS Galaxy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mamelodi Sundowns | Marumo Gallants |
|---|---|---|
| TS Galaxy | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Siwelele FC | 7-4 W | 0-0 D |
| Polokwane City | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Mamelodi Sundowns (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mamelodi Sundowns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Al Hilal Riyadh World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | Hertha Berlin World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 29/05 | RB Leipzig World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FAR Rabat CAF Champions League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | FAR Rabat CAF Champions League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 12/05 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
5-1 | 7-4 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
Marumo Gallants
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 06/05 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Orbit College South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 07/04 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 17/03 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/03 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mamelodi Sundowns win (60%). Probabilities: Mamelodi Sundowns 60%, draw 24%, Marumo Gallants 16%.
How many goals are expected in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Mamelodi Sundowns 1.85 · Marumo Gallants 0.84), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.