Football · UAE Pro League · 06/09, 18:15

Prediction: Al Dhafra SCC vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi

Team pages: Al Dhafra SCC · Al Wahda Abu Dhabi

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Al Dhafra SCC0.95

Al Wahda Abu Dhabi1.79

1X2

19% 24% 57%

Al Dhafra SCC Draw Al Wahda Abu Dhabi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Dhafra SCC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLWLLL

Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDDWLDLLLW

Head-to-head

Al Dhafra SCC 1–1–4 Al Wahda Abu Dhabi (6 last)

Al Dhafra SCC1-0Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
Al Wahda Abu Dhabi1-1Al Dhafra SCC
Al Wahda Abu Dhabi5-2Al Dhafra SCC
Al Dhafra SCC1-3Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
Al Wahda Abu Dhabi4-2Al Dhafra SCC
Al Wahda Abu Dhabi3-2Al Dhafra SCC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Dhafra SCC 1393 · Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 1476

	Al Dhafra SCC	Draw	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
Our model	19%	25%	56%
Market	20%	23%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Wahda Abu Dhabi (rating 1393 vs 1476).
H2H favours Al Wahda Abu Dhabi: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Dhafra SCC	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 2	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.5	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.6	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.90

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.80

2 (-1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.50▼	Pinn 4.68
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.67 ★
2	1.55 → 1.57▲	Pinn 1.59

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:18 +4’	4.75	3.90	1.55
17:32 +6’	4.50▼	3.90	1.57▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:33 +49’	4.40	4.64	1.58
10:16 +8’	4.49▲	4.75▲	1.61▲
17:37 +1’	4.68▲	4.67▼	1.59▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Dhafra SCC 1–1–4 Al Wahda Abu Dhabi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 UAE Pro League	Al Dhafra SCC	1-0 HT 0-0	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
24/10/25 UAE Cup	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi	1-1 HT 1-0	Al Dhafra SCC
19/09/25 UAE Pro League	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi	5-2 HT 3-1	Al Dhafra SCC
17/03/23 UAE Pro League	Al Dhafra SCC	1-3 HT 0-2	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
25/10/22 UAE Pro League	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi	4-2 HT 3-0	Al Dhafra SCC
22/04/22 UAE Pro League	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi	3-2 HT 2-1	Al Dhafra SCC

Standings · UAE Pro League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Jazira SC	4	4	0	0	10	1	12
2	Al Ain SCC	4	4	0	0	10	3	12
3	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	4	3	0	1	9	4	9
4	Sharjah SCC	4	3	0	1	10	6	9
5	Al Wasl SC	4	3	0	1	13	4	9
6	Ajman SCC	3	2	0	1	7	8	6
7	Dubai United	4	2	0	2	11	12	6
8	Al Nasr SC	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
9	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
10	Hatta Dubai	4	1	0	3	4	9	3
11	Khor Fakkan	4	1	0	3	5	12	3
12	Al Ittihad Kalba	4	0	1	3	3	11	1
13	Al Dhafra SCC	3	0	0	3	1	7	0
14	Baniyas SC	4	0	0	4	5	10	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Dhafra SCC	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
Khor Fakkan	0-2 L	1-1 D
Sharjah SCC	1-3 L	2-0 W
Al Ain SCC	0-5 L	0-1 L
Baniyas SC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Ajman SCC	0-1 L	2-3 L
Al Nasr SC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Al Wasl SC	0-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Al Wahda Abu Dhabi (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Dhafra SCC

LLLLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Khor Fakkan UAE Pro League	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
22/08	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai UAE Pro League	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
15/08	Sharjah SCC UAE Pro League	0-1	1-3	2	4	L
16/05	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi UAE Pro League	0-0	1-0	1	11	W
10/05	Al Ain SCC UAE Pro League	0-4	0-5	1	3	L
05/05	Baniyas SC UAE Pro League	1-1	2-2	8	1	D
24/04	Ajman SCC UAE Pro League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
11/04	Al Nasr SC UAE Pro League	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
05/04	Dibba Al Fujairah UAE Pro League	0-1	0-1	10	1	L
18/03	Al Wasl SC UAE Pro League	0-1	0-3	3	5	L

Al Wahda Abu Dhabi

LDDWLDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Baniyas SC UAE Pro League	1-1	2-1	9	3	W
21/08	Al Nasr SC UAE Pro League	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
14/08	Ajman SCC UAE Pro League	0-1	2-3	5	4	L
16/05	Al Dhafra SCC UAE Pro League	0-0	0-1	1	11	L
11/05	Khor Fakkan UAE Pro League	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
06/05	Al Wasl SC UAE Pro League	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
23/04	Sharjah SCC UAE Pro League	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
09/04	Al Ittihad Kalba UAE Pro League	2-0	2-2	7	4	D
04/04	Al Nasr SC UAE Pro League	2-1	2-2	2	4	D
17/03	Al Ain SCC UAE Pro League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Dhafra SCC vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Wahda Abu Dhabi win (57%). Probabilities: Al Dhafra SCC 19%, draw 24%, Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 57%.

How many goals are expected in Al Dhafra SCC vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Al Dhafra SCC 0.95 · Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 1.79), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Dhafra SCC vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.