Football · Malaysia Super League · 22/08, 11:00

Prediction: Negeri Sembilan vs Kuala Lumpur City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Negeri Sembilan1.62

Kuala Lumpur City1.69

1X2

36% 25% 39%

Negeri Sembilan Draw Kuala Lumpur City

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Negeri Sembilan 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

LLDDWDDDDW

Kuala Lumpur City 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLWLDL

Head-to-head

Negeri Sembilan 1–3–2 Kuala Lumpur City (6 last)

Kuala Lumpur City2-2Negeri Sembilan
Negeri Sembilan1-1Kuala Lumpur City
Kuala Lumpur City2-1Negeri Sembilan
Negeri Sembilan0-3Kuala Lumpur City
Kuala Lumpur City1-1Negeri Sembilan
Negeri Sembilan2-1Kuala Lumpur City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Negeri Sembilan 1503 · Kuala Lumpur City 1480

	Negeri Sembilan	Draw	Kuala Lumpur City
Our model	36%	25%	39%
Market	36%	25%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kuala Lumpur City: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Negeri Sembilan	Kuala Lumpur City
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.2	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.50

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 1 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.51
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.58 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:02 +37’	2.50	3.50	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:49 +1’	2.51	3.27	2.58

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Negeri Sembilan 1–3–2 Kuala Lumpur City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Malaysia Super League	Kuala Lumpur City	2-2 HT 2-1	Negeri Sembilan
20/12/25 Malaysia Super League	Negeri Sembilan	1-1 HT 0-1	Kuala Lumpur City
17/12/24 Malaysia Super League	Kuala Lumpur City	2-1 HT 2-1	Negeri Sembilan
21/06/24 Malaysia Super League	Negeri Sembilan	0-3 HT 0-1	Kuala Lumpur City
15/07/23 Malaysia Super League	Kuala Lumpur City	1-1 HT 1-0	Negeri Sembilan
14/05/23 Malaysia Super League	Negeri Sembilan	2-1 HT 0-0	Kuala Lumpur City

Standings · Malaysia Super League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Johor Darul Takzim	1	1	0	3	0	3
2	DPMM FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Kelantan Red Warrior	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Kuala Lumpur City	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Melaka FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Negeri Sembilan	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Pulau Pinang	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sabah FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Selangor	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Imigresen FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Terengganu	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Kuching City FC	1	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Negeri Sembilan	Kuala Lumpur City
Kelantan The Real Warriors	2-1 W	2-0 W
Melaka FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Terengganu	2-2 D	1-0 W
DPMM FC	2-2 D	4-0 W
Selangor	1-5 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kuala Lumpur City (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Negeri Sembilan

LLDDWDDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	Kelantan The Real Warriors Malaysia Super League	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	Kuala Lumpur City Malaysia Super League	1-2	2-2	8	6	D
03/05	Melaka FC Malaysia Super League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
25/04	Terengganu Malaysia Super League	0-2	2-2	2	4	D
12/04	DPMM FC Malaysia Super League	1-0	2-2	6	7	D
13/03	PDRM Malaysia Super League	3-1	6-1	7	2	W
07/03	Pulau Pinang Malaysia Super League	1-1	3-3	3	5	D
28/02	Sabah FC Malaysia Super League	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
21/02	Imigresen FC Malaysia Super League	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
14/02	Selangor Malaysia Cup	0-4	1-5	6	4	L

Kuala Lumpur City

WWWLLLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/05	Kuching City FC Malaysia Super League	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
10/05	Negeri Sembilan Malaysia Super League	2-1	2-2	4	6	D
02/05	Johor Darul Takzim Malaysia Super League	0-2	0-7	1	3	L
10/04	Kelantan The Real Warriors Malaysia Super League	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
07/04	Johor Darul Takzim Malaysia Cup	0-0	1-4	6	3	L
03/04	Johor Darul Takzim Malaysia Cup	0-2	0-4	1	3	L
15/03	Selangor Malaysia Super League	0-1	2-3	7	7	L
07/03	Melaka FC Malaysia Super League	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
27/02	Terengganu Malaysia Super League	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
22/02	DPMM FC Malaysia Super League	2-0	4-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Negeri Sembilan vs Kuala Lumpur City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kuala Lumpur City win (39%). Probabilities: Negeri Sembilan 36%, draw 25%, Kuala Lumpur City 39%.

How many goals are expected in Negeri Sembilan vs Kuala Lumpur City?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Negeri Sembilan 1.62 · Kuala Lumpur City 1.69), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Negeri Sembilan vs Kuala Lumpur City?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.