Football · Aruba Division Di Honor · 23/07, 02:30

Prediction: SV River Plate vs SV Atlantico Deportivo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.1Total
SV River Plate2.24
SV Atlantico Deportivo1.87
1X2
46% 22% 32%
SV River Plate Draw SV Atlantico Deportivo
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
SV River Plate 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLWLDLWDWW
SV Atlantico Deportivo 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLWWLWLWLL
Head-to-head
SV River Plate 2–0 SV Atlantico Deportivo (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV River Plate 1547 · SV Atlantico Deportivo 1478
SV River PlateDrawSV Atlantico Deportivo
Our model46%22%32%
Market46%22%32%
Estimated total (ours) 4.1 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV River Plate (rating 1547 vs 1478).
  • H2H favours SV River Plate: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SV River PlateSV Atlantico Deportivo
Goals for / against (FT)2.8 / 2.52 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 1.10.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.21.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.23 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV River Plate 200 SV Atlantico Deportivo

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/01/26
Aruba Cup
SV Atlantico Deportivo0-3
HT 0-0
SV River Plate
12/01/25
Aruba Cup
SV Atlantico Deportivo0-1
HT 0-0
SV River Plate

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV River Plate

DLWLDLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/05 SV Brazil Juniors
Aruba Silver League
3-0 4-2 35 W
25/05 SV Estrella
Aruba Silver League
1-0 5-1 20 W
17/05 SV Jong Aruba
Aruba Silver League
2-2 2-2 120 D
11/05 SV Unistars
Aruba Division Di Honor
4-0 5-0 53 W
07/05 SV Caiquetio
Aruba Division Di Honor
0-1 0-3 87 L
27/04 SV Brazil Juniors
Aruba Division Di Honor
2-2 2-2 48 D
19/04 SV Estrella
Aruba Silver League
1-1 3-5 62 L
31/03 SV Unistars
Aruba Silver League
3-0 3-0 43 W
28/02 SV Sporting Aruba
Aruba Division Di Honor
1-4 1-7 42 L
22/02 Bubali SC
Aruba Division Di Honor
0-1 3-3 46 D

SV Atlantico Deportivo

LLWWLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/06 SV Estudiantes
Aruba Silver League
0-3 2-3 53 L
28/05 SV Deportivo Nacional
Aruba Division Di Honor
0-1 0-2 21 L
18/05 Real Koyari
Aruba Silver League
1-0 5-1 41 W
04/05 SV Caravel
Aruba Silver League
0-0 0-1 53 L
30/04 SV Estudiantes
Aruba Division Di Honor
3-1 3-1 24 W
20/04 SV Deportivo Nacional
Aruba Silver League
1-0 1-2 03 L
14/04 Real Koyari
Aruba Division Di Honor
1-2 4-2 87 W
01/04 FC San Nicolas
Aruba Division Di Honor
2-0 5-0 57 W
15/03 SV Caravel
Aruba Division Di Honor
0-0 0-2 134 L
09/01 SV River Plate
Aruba Cup
0-0 0-3 12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV River Plate vs SV Atlantico Deportivo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV River Plate win (46%). Probabilities: SV River Plate 46%, draw 22%, SV Atlantico Deportivo 32%.

How many goals are expected in SV River Plate vs SV Atlantico Deportivo?

The model expects 4.1 goals (SV River Plate 2.24 · SV Atlantico Deportivo 1.87), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SV River Plate vs SV Atlantico Deportivo?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.