Football · Honduras Super Cup · 24/07, 03:00

Prediction: CD Olimpia vs Motagua

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
CD Olimpia1.5
Motagua1.14
1X2
44% 28% 28%
CD Olimpia Draw Motagua
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Olimpia 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWWLWL
Motagua 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WDWLDLWWDD
Head-to-head
CD Olimpia 3–2–1 Motagua (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Olimpia 1548 · Motagua 1510
CD OlimpiaDrawMotagua
Our model44%28%28%
Market45%27%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours CD Olimpia: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 13 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD OlimpiaMotagua
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.21.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.50.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 7.32.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.24.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Olimpia 321 Motagua

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/04/26
Honduras Liga Nacional
Motagua0-1
HT 0-1
CD Olimpia
23/02/26
Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Olimpia0-1
HT 0-0
Motagua
21/12/25
Honduras Liga Nacional
Motagua1-1
HT 1-0
CD Olimpia
18/12/25
Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Olimpia2-0
HT 0-0
Motagua
17/10/25
Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Olimpia2-2
HT 1-1
Motagua
03/08/25
Honduras Liga Nacional
Motagua0-2
HT 0-1
CD Olimpia

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD OlimpiaMotagua
CD Marathon 0-1 L 0-0 D
Atletico Choloma 3-1 W 5-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Motagua (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Olimpia

WWWWLWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/05 CD Marathon
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 0-1 112 L
13/05 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 3-2 74 W
10/05 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-3 82 L
07/05 CD Marathon
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 2-0 85 W
01/05 CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 4-0 52 W
26/04 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-2 2-3 33 L
23/04 CD Marathon
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-1 2-1 109 W
19/04 Atletico Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 3-1 W
13/04 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-0 48 W
09/04 CD Victoria
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 2-1 106 W

Motagua

WDWLDLWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/05 CD Marathon
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 0-0 136 D
22/05 CD Marathon
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-1 24 D
19/05 Genesis de Comayagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 2-1 65 W
13/05 Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 2-0 44 W
10/05 Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-2 64 L
04/05 Genesis de Comayagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-1 47 D
01/05 Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-2 L
27/04 Atletico Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
3-1 5-1 54 W
24/04 Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 0-0 53 D
20/04 Juticalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 2-1 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Olimpia vs Motagua?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Olimpia win (44%). Probabilities: CD Olimpia 44%, draw 28%, Motagua 28%.

How many goals are expected in CD Olimpia vs Motagua?

The model expects 2.64 goals (CD Olimpia 1.5 · Motagua 1.14), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Olimpia vs Motagua?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.