Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 14/11, 18:30

Prediction: CE Europa vs UE Sant Andreu

Team pages: CE Europa · UE Sant Andreu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

CE Europa1.26

UE Sant Andreu1.25

1X2

36% 29% 35%

CE Europa Draw UE Sant Andreu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CE Europa 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWLLLW

UE Sant Andreu 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWDLDLWD

Head-to-head

CE Europa 2–3–1 UE Sant Andreu (6 last)

UE Sant Andreu1-1CE Europa
UE Sant Andreu1-1CE Europa
CE Europa4-6UE Sant Andreu
UE Sant Andreu2-3CE Europa
CE Europa3-0UE Sant Andreu
UE Sant Andreu1-1CE Europa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CE Europa 1482 · UE Sant Andreu 1499

	CE Europa	Draw	UE Sant Andreu
Our model	36%	30%	35%
Market	36%	29%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CE Europa: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CE Europa	UE Sant Andreu
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.7	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.9	1.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	6.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.10

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +4’	2.50	3.10	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CE Europa 2–3–1 UE Sant Andreu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Europe Friendlies	UE Sant Andreu	1-1 HT 1-0	CE Europa
30/03/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	UE Sant Andreu	1-1 HT 0-1	CE Europa
17/11/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	CE Europa	4-6 HT 3-4	UE Sant Andreu
28/01/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	UE Sant Andreu	2-3 HT 1-1	CE Europa
17/09/23 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	CE Europa	3-0 HT 1-0	UE Sant Andreu
02/04/23 Spain Tercera Group 5	UE Sant Andreu	1-1 HT 1-0	CE Europa

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Zaragoza	11	7	3	1	21	12	24
2	Villarreal B	11	6	4	1	24	13	22
3	Real Murcia	11	6	2	3	13	9	20
4	Real Jaen	11	5	4	2	19	15	19
5	Alcorcon	11	4	6	1	22	13	18
6	UD Ibiza	11	5	3	3	18	14	18
7	Hercules	11	5	2	4	12	13	17
8	FC Cartagena	11	4	4	3	16	13	16
9	Real Madrid B	11	4	4	3	15	13	16
10	Huesca	11	3	6	2	13	13	15
11	Gimnastic	11	4	3	4	16	17	15
12	Antequera	11	3	5	3	17	15	14
13	Algeciras CF	11	4	2	5	16	17	14
14	UE Sant Andreu	11	3	4	4	14	14	13
15	Atletico Madrid B	11	2	5	4	20	19	11
16	CE Europa	11	3	1	7	9	20	10
17	Aguilas	11	1	6	4	10	16	9
18	Juventud Torremolinos CF	11	1	5	5	12	21	8
19	Rayo Majadahonda	11	2	1	8	8	15	7
20	Teruel	11	1	4	6	5	18	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CE Europa	UE Sant Andreu
UD Ibiza	0-3 L	0-2 L
FC Cartagena	0-3 L	2-2 D
Rayo Majadahonda	1-0 W	1-2 L
Hercules	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: UE Sant Andreu (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CE Europa

DLLWLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-2	3-2	8	6	W
30/10	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
23/10	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
16/10	FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
11/10	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
04/10	Huesca Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-2	1-3	2	7	L
27/09	Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
19/09	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
12/09	Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
06/09	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	1	D

UE Sant Andreu

WLDWDLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-2	4	9	D
31/10	Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-0	4	8	W
24/10	Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-2	9	5	L
18/10	Juventud Torremolinos CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-2	4	2	D
12/10	Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
04/10	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
26/09	Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-1	1	7	W
23/09	Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
05/09	Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-0	3	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CE Europa vs UE Sant Andreu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CE Europa win (36%). Probabilities: CE Europa 36%, draw 29%, UE Sant Andreu 35%.

How many goals are expected in CE Europa vs UE Sant Andreu?

The model expects 2.51 goals (CE Europa 1.26 · UE Sant Andreu 1.25), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CE Europa vs UE Sant Andreu?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.