Prediction: Gazalkent vs Metallurg Bekabad
| Gazalkent | Draw | Metallurg Bekabad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 27% | 45% |
| Market | 29% | 26% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gazalkent | Metallurg Bekabad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 2.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 1.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Orol Nukus | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Shurtan | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | FC Lochin | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Metallurg Bekabad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Kattaqorgon | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Gazalkent | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 15 |
| 7 | Fardu Ferghana | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Yaypan Fergana | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 13 |
| 9 | Olympic Mobiuz | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Respublika FA | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 11 | Jayxun | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | BuxDu | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 7 |
| 13 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 4 |
| 14 | PFC Terdu | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gazalkent | Metallurg Bekabad |
|---|---|---|
| Shurtan | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Jayxun | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 2-1 W | 5-0 W |
| PFC Terdu | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Fardu Ferghana | 2-2 D | 7-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Metallurg Bekabad (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gazalkent
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 03/06 | Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan Cup |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 15/05 | FC Lochin Uzbekistan Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan Cup |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Lochin Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Metallurg Bekabad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06 | Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
3-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/06 | Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Kattaqorgon Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | AGMK Uzbekistan Cup |
0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/04 | Olympic Mobiuz Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/04 | PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gazalkent vs Metallurg Bekabad?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Metallurg Bekabad win (45%). Probabilities: Gazalkent 29%, draw 26%, Metallurg Bekabad 45%.
How many goals are expected in Gazalkent vs Metallurg Bekabad?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Gazalkent 1.27 · Metallurg Bekabad 1.62), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gazalkent vs Metallurg Bekabad?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.