Football · Dominica Premier League · 24/07, 01:00
Prediction: Mahaut Soca Strikers vs Portsmouth Bombers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.76Total
Mahaut Soca Strikers2.31
Portsmouth Bombers1.45
1X2
Mahaut Soca Strikers
Draw
Portsmouth Bombers
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mahaut Soca Strikers
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Portsmouth Bombers
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mahaut Soca Strikers
0–1–4
Portsmouth Bombers
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mahaut Soca Strikers 1545 · Portsmouth Bombers 1503
| Mahaut Soca Strikers | Draw | Portsmouth Bombers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mahaut Soca Strikers (rating 1545 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Portsmouth Bombers: 4-1-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mahaut Soca Strikers | Portsmouth Bombers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.6 | 2.7 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mahaut Soca Strikers 0–1–4 Portsmouth Bombers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Dominica Premier League | Portsmouth Bombers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mahaut Soca Strikers |
| 21/02/26 Dominica Premier League | Portsmouth Bombers | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Mahaut Soca Strikers |
| 22/06/25 Dominica Premier League | Portsmouth Bombers | 4-4 HT 3-2 | Mahaut Soca Strikers |
| 29/08/20 Dominica Premier League | Portsmouth Bombers | 3-2 HT 3-2 | Mahaut Soca Strikers |
| 02/09/17 Dominica Premier League | Portsmouth Bombers | 5-1 HT 4-1 | Mahaut Soca Strikers |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mahaut Soca Strikers | Portsmouth Bombers |
|---|---|---|
| Promex Harlem United SC | 3-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Middleham United FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Dublanc FC | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Bath Estate | 5-3 W | 1-1 D |
| We United FC | 4-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Pointe Michel FC | 1-1 D | 6-2 W |
| Sagicor South East FC | 4-0 W | 1-6 L |
| Mighty Avengers | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Mahaut Soca Strikers (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mahaut Soca Strikers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Promex Harlem United SC Dominica Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Promex Harlem United SC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Bath Estate Dominica Premier League |
4-2 | 5-3 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | We United FC Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Portsmouth Bombers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Promex Harlem United SC Dominica Premier League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League |
3-0 | 6-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | We United FC Dominica Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Bath Estate Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mahaut Soca Strikers vs Portsmouth Bombers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mahaut Soca Strikers win (56%). Probabilities: Mahaut Soca Strikers 56%, draw 22%, Portsmouth Bombers 23%.
How many goals are expected in Mahaut Soca Strikers vs Portsmouth Bombers?
The model expects 3.76 goals (Mahaut Soca Strikers 2.31 · Portsmouth Bombers 1.45), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mahaut Soca Strikers vs Portsmouth Bombers?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.