Football · New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women · 22/07, 09:30
Prediction: Auckland United (W) vs Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Auckland United (W)1.39
Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)1.44
1X2
Auckland United (W)
Draw
Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Auckland United (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Auckland United (W)
3–2–1
Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Auckland United (W) 1579 · Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) 1576
| Auckland United (W) | Draw | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Auckland United (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Auckland United (W) | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.6 | 2.2 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Auckland United (W) 3–2–1 Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Auckland United (W) |
| 29/11/25 New Zealand National League Women | Auckland United (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) |
| 29/10/25 New Zealand National League Women | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Auckland United (W) |
| 20/08/25 New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women | Auckland United (W) | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) |
| 05/10/24 New Zealand Premier League Women | Auckland United (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) |
| 15/06/24 New Zealand Cup Women | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Auckland United (W) |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Auckland United (W) | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) |
|---|---|---|
| West Coast Rangers (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Southern United (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Western Springs (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Petone FC (W) | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Auckland United (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Auckland United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | West Coast Rangers (W) New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Ellerslie (W) New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Ellerslie (W) New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 29/11 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) New Zealand National League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 22/11 | CF Wellington United (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/11 | Southern United (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/11 | Western Springs (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 01/11 | Petone FC (W) New Zealand National League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/10 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Fencibles United (W) New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | Auckland United (W) New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 29/11 | Auckland United (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/11 | Petone FC (W) New Zealand National League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 14/11 | West Coast Rangers (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/11 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves (W) New Zealand National League Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 01/11 | Southern United (W) New Zealand National League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 29/10 | Auckland United (W) New Zealand National League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 24/10 | Western Springs (W) New Zealand National League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 19/10 | Canterbury United (W) New Zealand National League Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Auckland United (W) vs Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Auckland United (W) 36%, draw 27%, Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) 38%.
How many goals are expected in Auckland United (W) vs Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Auckland United (W) 1.39 · Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) 1.44), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Auckland United (W) vs Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.