Football · China League 1 Women · 23/07, 10:15

Prediction: Yongchuan Chashan (W) vs Henan (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Yongchuan Chashan (W)0.82
Henan (W)1.97
1X2
15% 22% 64%
Yongchuan Chashan (W) Draw Henan (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Yongchuan Chashan (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWDLLDLLDW
Henan (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLDDLLLWWD
Head-to-head
Yongchuan Chashan (W) 1–2–3 Henan (W) (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yongchuan Chashan (W) 1483 · Henan (W) 1476
Yongchuan Chashan (W)DrawHenan (W)
Our model14%23%63%
Market15%21%64%
Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Henan (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Yongchuan Chashan (W)Henan (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.21.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.51 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/67/33%29/29/43%
Corners (HT / FT)0.7 / 2.32.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.7 / 0.22.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yongchuan Chashan (W) 123 Henan (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
02/08/25
China Super League Women
Yongchuan Chashan (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Henan (W)
11/06/25
China Super League Women
Henan (W)2-1
HT 1-1
Yongchuan Chashan (W)
18/08/24
China Super League Women
Henan (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Yongchuan Chashan (W)
28/04/24
China Super League Women
Yongchuan Chashan (W)0-0Henan (W)
11/11/23
China Super League Women
Henan (W)2-1
HT 0-1
Yongchuan Chashan (W)
30/04/23
China Super League Women
Yongchuan Chashan (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Henan (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentYongchuan Chashan (W)Henan (W)
Guangdong (W) 2-2 D 1-2 L
Jiangsu Suning (W) 0-1 L 0-3 L
Shanghai (W) 0-1 L 1-5 L
Wuhan Jiangda (W) 0-2 L 2-3 L
Beijing (W) 0-0 D 3-3 D
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Yongchuan Chashan (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yongchuan Chashan (W)

WWDLLDLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/09 Changchun Dazhong (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 1-0 11 W
20/09 Guangdong (W)
China Super League Women
2-2 D
07/09 Shandong (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 1-4 02 L
31/08 Jiangsu Suning (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 L
24/08 Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
China Super League Women
1-1 2-2 31 D
16/08 Shanghai (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 L
13/08 Wuhan Jiangda (W)
China Super League Women
0-1 0-2 61 L
09/08 Beijing (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 0-0 02 D
02/08 Henan (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 1-0 44 W
26/07 Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
China Super League Women
1-0 W

Henan (W)

LLDDLLLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Qingdao West Coast (W)
China League 1 Women
0-1 1-1 43 D
14/07 Shanghai Shenhua (W)
China League 1 Women
5-0 6-0 70 W
14/06 Tianjin Shengde (W)
China League One Women
1-1 2-1 81 W
28/09 Guangdong (W)
China Super League Women
1-0 1-2 55 L
21/09 Shanghai (W)
China Super League Women
0-3 1-5 42 L
11/09 Wuhan Jiangda (W)
China Super League Women
0-2 2-3 94 L
07/09 Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
China Super League Women
0-0 1-1 22 D
31/08 Beijing (W)
China Super League Women
3-3 D
24/08 Wuhan Jiangda (W)
China Super League Women
0-2 L
16/08 Jiangsu Suning (W)
China Super League Women
0-3 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yongchuan Chashan (W) vs Henan (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Henan (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Yongchuan Chashan (W) 15%, draw 22%, Henan (W) 64%.

How many goals are expected in Yongchuan Chashan (W) vs Henan (W)?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Yongchuan Chashan (W) 0.82 · Henan (W) 1.97), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Yongchuan Chashan (W) vs Henan (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.