Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 18/11, 22:00

Prediction: Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense

Team pages: Olimpia Asuncion · Sportivo Trinidense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Olimpia Asuncion1.69

Sportivo Trinidense1.05

1X2

51% 26% 22%

Olimpia Asuncion Draw Sportivo Trinidense

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Olimpia Asuncion 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWWWWW

Sportivo Trinidense 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWWLDW

Head-to-head

Olimpia Asuncion 3–1–2 Sportivo Trinidense (6 last)

Sportivo Trinidense1-2Olimpia Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense2-1Olimpia Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense0-1Olimpia Asuncion
Olimpia Asuncion3-2Sportivo Trinidense
Olimpia Asuncion1-1Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Trinidense4-3Olimpia Asuncion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olimpia Asuncion 1621 · Sportivo Trinidense 1520

	Olimpia Asuncion	Draw	Sportivo Trinidense
Our model	51%	26%	22%
Market	51%	26%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia Asuncion (rating 1621 vs 1520).
H2H favours Olimpia Asuncion: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Olimpia Asuncion	Sportivo Trinidense
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.5	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	2.9 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.40

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.02

2 (+0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:57 +13’	1.75	3.40	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia Asuncion 3–1–2 Sportivo Trinidense

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Trinidense	1-2 HT 0-1	Olimpia Asuncion
02/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Trinidense	2-1 HT 1-0	Olimpia Asuncion
05/03/26 Copa Sudamericana	Sportivo Trinidense	0-1 HT 0-1	Olimpia Asuncion
01/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Olimpia Asuncion	3-2 HT 1-1	Sportivo Trinidense
20/09/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Olimpia Asuncion	1-1 HT 1-1	Sportivo Trinidense
13/07/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Trinidense	4-3 HT 0-2	Olimpia Asuncion

Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Recoleta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerro Porteno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guarani Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	2 de Mayo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Libertad Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nacional Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rubio Nu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Ameliano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Luqueno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Trinidense	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Olimpia Asuncion	Sportivo Trinidense
Guarani Asuncion	3-1 W	0-1 L
Deportivo Recoleta	4-1 W	3-1 W
Cerro Porteno	2-0 W	2-1 W
Sportivo Ameliano	3-2 W	3-0 W
2 de Mayo	3-0 W	0-0 D
Rubio Nu	0-0 D	2-4 L
Nacional Asuncion	1-1 D	1-0 W
Libertad Asuncion	1-0 W	1-0 W
Sportivo San Lorenzo	3-0 W	1-1 D
Sportivo Luqueno	3-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	8 W 2 D 0 L	6 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Asuncion (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olimpia Asuncion

WWWDDWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	2-1	3-1	4	4	W
05/11	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	4-0	4-1	7	1	W
01/11	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	2-0	0	7	W
25/10	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	3-2	4	6	W
18/10	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
11/10	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	11	4	D
07/10	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
29/09	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
20/09	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
13/09	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	2-0	3-0	2	4	W

Sportivo Trinidense

WLWWDWWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
03/11	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	7	0	D
30/10	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	0-3	2-4	8	4	L
24/10	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	1-0	13	4	W
19/10	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
10/10	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-1	10	4	D
05/10	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
27/09	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
18/09	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
12/09	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	3-1	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Olimpia Asuncion win (51%). Probabilities: Olimpia Asuncion 51%, draw 26%, Sportivo Trinidense 22%.

How many goals are expected in Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Olimpia Asuncion 1.69 · Sportivo Trinidense 1.05), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Olimpia Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.