Football · Australia WA State Cup Women · 22/07, 13:00

Prediction: Fremantle City FC (W) vs Perth SC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Fremantle City FC (W)1.48

Perth SC (W)1.81

1X2

31% 24% 45%

Fremantle City FC (W) Draw Perth SC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fremantle City FC (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLWWW

Perth SC (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Fremantle City FC (W) 0–2–4 Perth SC (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fremantle City FC (W) 1575 · Perth SC (W) 1629

	Fremantle City FC (W)	Draw	Perth SC (W)
Our model	31%	25%	45%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perth SC (W) (rating 1575 vs 1629).
H2H favours Perth SC (W): 4-2-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fremantle City FC (W)	Perth SC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.1	2.9 / 0.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	1.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5	4 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.9 / 0.1	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.75

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:46 +17’	2.90	3.75	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fremantle City FC (W) 0–2–4 Perth SC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth SC (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Fremantle City FC (W)
10/04/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth SC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Fremantle City FC (W)
13/07/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Fremantle City FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Perth SC (W)
11/05/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth SC (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Fremantle City FC (W)
22/03/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth SC (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Fremantle City FC (W)
09/03/25 Australia Friendlies	Perth SC (W)	4-1 HT 2-1	Fremantle City FC (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fremantle City FC (W)	Perth SC (W)
Subiaco AFC (W)	2-0 W	5-0 W
Perth Redstar FC (W)	2-0 W	1-0 W
Hyundai NTC Women	2-1 W	3-0 W
Sorrento (W)	4-3 W	1-0 W
Balcatta FC (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	5-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Perth SC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fremantle City FC (W)

WDWWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	2-0	3	0	W
12/07	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
04/07	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	8	1	W
28/06	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-2	1-2	9	2	L
21/06	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-2	4-3	3	1	W
13/06	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
31/05	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
24/05	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	7	2	W
15/05	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	3-2	3-3	3	3	D
10/05	Sorrento (W) Australia WA State Cup Women	4-0	6-0	8	0	W

Perth SC (W)

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
11/07	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-1	4-1	9	3	W
05/07	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
28/06	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	2-1	3	2	W
20/06	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
14/06	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	6	1	W
07/06	Fremantle City 2 Women Australia WA State Cup Women	6-0	8-0	10	0	W
31/05	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	3-0	3-0	8	0	W
24/05	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	5-0	5	4	W
16/05	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	9	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fremantle City FC (W) vs Perth SC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Perth SC (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Fremantle City FC (W) 31%, draw 24%, Perth SC (W) 45%.

How many goals are expected in Fremantle City FC (W) vs Perth SC (W)?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Fremantle City FC (W) 1.48 · Perth SC (W) 1.81), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Fremantle City FC (W) vs Perth SC (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.