Football · England Southern Premier League South · 22/09, 20:45

Prediction: Hanwell Town vs Uxbridge

Team pages: Hanwell Town · Uxbridge

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Hanwell Town1.28

Uxbridge1.31

1X2

36% 27% 37%

Hanwell Town Draw Uxbridge

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hanwell Town 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDWDLLLD

Uxbridge 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWDWWDWL

Head-to-head

Hanwell Town 0–1–1 Uxbridge (2 last)

Uxbridge2-0Hanwell Town
Hanwell Town1-1Uxbridge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hanwell Town 1476 · Uxbridge 1568

	Hanwell Town	Draw	Uxbridge
Our model	35%	29%	36%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Uxbridge (rating 1476 vs 1568).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hanwell Town	Uxbridge
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	2.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.5	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.50

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:18 +6’	2.45	3.50	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hanwell Town 0–1–1 Uxbridge

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 England Southern Premier League South	Uxbridge	2-0 HT 1-0	Hanwell Town
27/12/25 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	1-1 HT 0-0	Uxbridge

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	8	5	2	1	17	7	17
2	Plymouth Parkway	7	5	1	1	20	7	16
3	Chertsey Town	7	4	1	2	17	10	13
4	Hanworth Villa	7	4	1	2	13	6	13
5	Frome Town	7	4	1	2	12	6	13
6	Berkhamsted	8	4	1	3	10	10	13
7	Taunton Town	7	4	0	3	20	17	12
8	Chichester City	7	4	0	3	11	12	12
9	Poole Town	7	4	0	3	8	9	12
10	Gosport Borough	8	3	2	3	11	9	11
11	Bath City	7	3	2	2	8	6	11
12	Yate Town	7	3	2	2	10	11	11
13	Evesham United	7	3	1	3	11	14	10
14	Bracknell Town	8	3	1	4	10	17	10
15	Wimborne Town	7	2	3	2	6	4	9
16	Basingstoke	8	2	3	3	13	14	9
17	Sholing	7	2	1	4	7	12	7
18	Chippenham Town	7	2	1	4	7	14	7
19	Gloucester	7	1	3	3	9	11	6
20	Hanwell Town	7	1	3	3	6	9	6
21	Havant and W	8	1	1	6	8	15	4
22	Malvern Town	7	0	2	5	7	21	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hanwell Town	Uxbridge
Berkhamsted	0-1 L	0-1 L
Chichester City	0-2 L	5-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Uxbridge (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hanwell Town

DLWDWDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
22/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
11/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
08/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
25/04	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
18/04	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
16/04	Farnham England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	6	5	D

Uxbridge

DDWWDWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	0	5	L
12/09	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	2-0	5-0	6	1	W
31/08	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
29/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	5-4	–	–	W
15/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	14	1	W
25/04	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	1-2	3-3	2	0	D
18/04	Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-1	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hanwell Town vs Uxbridge?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Uxbridge win (37%). Probabilities: Hanwell Town 36%, draw 27%, Uxbridge 37%.

How many goals are expected in Hanwell Town vs Uxbridge?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Hanwell Town 1.28 · Uxbridge 1.31), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hanwell Town vs Uxbridge?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.