Football · England Southern Premier League South · 22/09, 20:45

Prediction: Poole Town vs Wimborne Town

Team pages: Poole Town · Wimborne Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Poole Town1.46

Wimborne Town1.05

1X2

46% 27% 27%

Poole Town Draw Wimborne Town

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Poole Town 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLLWWLW

Wimborne Town 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLLDWDDW

Head-to-head

Poole Town 3–3 Wimborne Town (6 last)

Poole Town1-2Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town0-2Poole Town
Wimborne Town1-0Poole Town
Poole Town1-0Wimborne Town
Poole Town0-1Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town2-4Poole Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Poole Town 1518 · Wimborne Town 1524

	Poole Town	Draw	Wimborne Town
Our model	45%	29%	26%
Market	47%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Poole Town	Wimborne Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 3.8	2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.50

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
16:18 +5’	1.90	3.50	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Poole Town 3–0–3 Wimborne Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 England Southern Premier League South	Poole Town	1-2	Wimborne Town
27/12/25 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	0-2	Poole Town
18/02/25 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	1-0 HT 0-0	Poole Town
26/08/24 England Southern Premier League South	Poole Town	1-0	Wimborne Town
23/07/22 Club Friendly List	Poole Town	0-1 HT 0-0	Wimborne Town
18/04/22 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	2-4	Poole Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	8	5	2	1	17	7	17
2	Plymouth Parkway	7	5	1	1	20	7	16
3	Chertsey Town	7	4	1	2	17	10	13
4	Hanworth Villa	7	4	1	2	13	6	13
5	Frome Town	7	4	1	2	12	6	13
6	Berkhamsted	8	4	1	3	10	10	13
7	Taunton Town	7	4	0	3	20	17	12
8	Chichester City	7	4	0	3	11	12	12
9	Poole Town	7	4	0	3	8	9	12
10	Gosport Borough	8	3	2	3	11	9	11
11	Bath City	7	3	2	2	8	6	11
12	Yate Town	7	3	2	2	10	11	11
13	Evesham United	7	3	1	3	11	14	10
14	Bracknell Town	8	3	1	4	10	17	10
15	Wimborne Town	7	2	3	2	6	4	9
16	Basingstoke	8	2	3	3	13	14	9
17	Sholing	7	2	1	4	7	12	7
18	Chippenham Town	7	2	1	4	7	14	7
19	Gloucester	7	1	3	3	9	11	6
20	Hanwell Town	7	1	3	3	6	9	6
21	Havant and W	8	1	1	6	8	15	4
22	Malvern Town	7	0	2	5	7	21	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Poole Town	Wimborne Town
Sholing	0-1 L	2-2 D
Chichester City	2-1 W	0-1 L
Gloucester	2-2 D	1-1 D
Uxbridge	3-3 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Poole Town

WDDWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
31/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
15/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
29/04	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	1-1	2-2	5	7	D
25/04	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	2-1	3-3	2	0	D
18/04	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W

Wimborne Town

WDDLLDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
29/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
25/04	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
18/04	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
14/04	Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	6-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Poole Town vs Wimborne Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Poole Town win (46%). Probabilities: Poole Town 46%, draw 27%, Wimborne Town 27%.

How many goals are expected in Poole Town vs Wimborne Town?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Poole Town 1.46 · Wimborne Town 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Poole Town vs Wimborne Town?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.