Football · England Southern Premier League South · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Hanwell Town vs Wimborne Town

Team pages: Hanwell Town · Wimborne Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Hanwell Town1.27

Wimborne Town1.1

1X2

40% 28% 32%

Hanwell Town Draw Wimborne Town

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hanwell Town 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLLLDDWD

Wimborne Town 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWDDWWWL

Head-to-head

Hanwell Town 0–2–2 Wimborne Town (4 last)

Wimborne Town3-0Hanwell Town
Hanwell Town1-1Wimborne Town
Hanwell Town2-2Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town1-0Hanwell Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hanwell Town 1478 · Wimborne Town 1560

	Hanwell Town	Draw	Wimborne Town
Our model	39%	30%	31%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wimborne Town (rating 1478 vs 1560).
H2H favours Wimborne Town: 2-2-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hanwell Town	Wimborne Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.2	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 8	3.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.7	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:25 +2’	2.20	3.40	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hanwell Town 0–2–2 Wimborne Town

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	3-0	Hanwell Town
22/11/25 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	1-1	Wimborne Town
04/02/25 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	2-2 HT 1-1	Wimborne Town
10/08/24 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	1-0	Hanwell Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
2	Plymouth Parkway	11	7	2	2	26	12	23
3	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
4	Hanworth Villa	11	7	1	3	22	12	22
5	Bath City	11	6	2	3	16	10	20
6	Frome Town	12	5	4	3	20	14	19
7	Chichester City	11	6	1	4	20	19	19
8	Chertsey Town	11	4	4	3	23	18	16
9	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
10	Wimborne Town	10	4	3	3	17	9	15
11	Gosport Borough	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
12	Taunton Town	10	4	1	5	24	24	13
13	Evesham United	11	4	1	6	14	20	13
14	Basingstoke	11	3	3	5	19	21	12
15	Yate Town	11	3	3	5	15	24	12
16	Hanwell Town	10	2	5	3	10	12	11
17	Sholing	10	3	2	5	12	16	11
18	Bracknell Town	11	3	2	6	12	23	11
19	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
20	Havant and W	11	2	2	7	16	23	8
21	Chippenham Town	10	2	2	6	9	20	8
22	Malvern Town	11	2	2	7	17	31	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hanwell Town	Wimborne Town
Havant and W	1-1 D	6-3 W
Frome Town	2-2 D	0-2 L
Chichester City	0-2 L	0-1 L
Gloucester	0-1 L	1-1 D
Malvern Town	2-2 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Wimborne Town (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hanwell Town

DWDLLLDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-1	10	6	D
10/10	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	9	6	D
12/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
22/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D

Wimborne Town

LLDWDDWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
10/10	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	6-3	–	–	W
29/09	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
29/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hanwell Town vs Wimborne Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hanwell Town win (40%). Probabilities: Hanwell Town 40%, draw 28%, Wimborne Town 32%.

How many goals are expected in Hanwell Town vs Wimborne Town?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Hanwell Town 1.27 · Wimborne Town 1.1), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hanwell Town vs Wimborne Town?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.