Football · England Southern Premier League South · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Taunton Town vs Frome Town

Team pages: Taunton Town · Frome Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Taunton Town1.96

Frome Town1.7

1X2

43% 24% 33%

Taunton Town Draw Frome Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Taunton Town 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLDLWW

Frome Town 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLDDDWL

Head-to-head

Taunton Town 3–2–1 Frome Town (6 last)

Frome Town2-2Taunton Town
Taunton Town0-0Frome Town
Frome Town0-2Taunton Town
Frome Town0-6Taunton Town
Frome Town2-0Taunton Town
Taunton Town3-0Frome Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taunton Town 1506 · Frome Town 1491

	Taunton Town	Draw	Frome Town
Our model	43%	23%	33%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Taunton Town: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Taunton Town	Frome Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 2.1	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 2	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/0/100%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5	3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	5.3 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.70

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
18:08 +3’	2.10	3.70	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Taunton Town 3–2–1 Frome Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/09/26 England Southern Premier League South	Frome Town	2-2 HT 2-1	Taunton Town
11/02/25 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Frome Town
26/08/24 England Southern Premier League South	Frome Town	0-2	Taunton Town
22/07/22 Club Friendly List	Frome Town	0-6 HT 0-3	Taunton Town
16/03/19 England Southern Premier League South	Frome Town	2-0	Taunton Town
06/10/18 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	3-0	Frome Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22	13	27
2	Uxbridge	11	8	2	1	23	8	26
3	Bath City	13	8	2	3	19	10	26
4	Hanworth Villa	13	7	3	3	25	15	24
5	Plymouth Parkway	12	7	2	3	26	14	23
6	Chichester City	13	7	1	5	23	21	22
7	Taunton Town	12	6	1	5	32	25	19
8	Chertsey Town	12	5	4	3	25	18	19
9	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
10	Wimborne Town	11	5	3	3	20	9	18
11	Gosport Borough	13	5	3	5	19	17	18
12	Berkhamsted	12	5	1	6	15	17	16
13	Basingstoke	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
14	Bracknell Town	13	4	2	7	13	27	14
15	Yate Town	12	3	4	5	16	25	13
16	Evesham United	13	4	1	8	15	26	13
17	Sholing	11	3	3	5	13	17	12
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
19	Malvern Town	13	3	2	8	19	34	11
20	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
21	Havant and W	13	2	3	8	18	26	9
22	Chippenham Town	12	2	3	7	11	25	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Taunton Town	Frome Town
Hanwell Town	1-2 L	2-2 D
Bath City	1-3 L	1-0 W
Gosport Borough	1-3 L	1-2 L
Yate Town	4-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Frome Town (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taunton Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
17/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
10/10	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
22/09	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
29/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	4-3	–	–	W
22/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	4-5	–	–	L
15/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frome Town

LWWDLDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
13/10	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
10/10	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
30/09	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
22/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-1	4	13	W
22/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taunton Town vs Frome Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Taunton Town win (43%). Probabilities: Taunton Town 43%, draw 24%, Frome Town 33%.

How many goals are expected in Taunton Town vs Frome Town?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Taunton Town 1.96 · Frome Town 1.7), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Taunton Town vs Frome Town?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.