Football · England Southern Premier League South · 10/11, 20:30

Prediction: Wimborne Town vs Poole Town

Team pages: Wimborne Town · Poole Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Wimborne Town1.36

Poole Town1.26

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Wimborne Town Draw Poole Town

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Wimborne Town 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWLWDW

Poole Town 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDLWD

Head-to-head

Wimborne Town 3–3 Poole Town (6 last)

Poole Town1-2Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town0-2Poole Town
Wimborne Town1-0Poole Town
Poole Town1-0Wimborne Town
Poole Town0-1Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town2-4Poole Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wimborne Town 1609 · Poole Town 1564

	Wimborne Town	Draw	Poole Town
Our model	38%	29%	33%
Market	40%	25%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wimborne Town (rating 1609 vs 1564).
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wimborne Town	Poole Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.5	2.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.3	4 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:18 +4’	2.25	3.50	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wimborne Town 3–0–3 Poole Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 England Southern Premier League South	Poole Town	1-2	Wimborne Town
27/12/25 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	0-2	Poole Town
18/02/25 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	1-0 HT 0-0	Poole Town
26/08/24 England Southern Premier League South	Poole Town	1-0	Wimborne Town
23/07/22 Club Friendly List	Poole Town	0-1 HT 0-0	Wimborne Town
18/04/22 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	2-4	Poole Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	15	10	3	2	29	12	33
2	Poole Town	16	10	2	4	28	17	32
3	Hanworth Villa	16	9	4	3	32	19	31
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	32	19	29
5	Bath City	15	9	2	4	21	12	29
6	Chichester City	16	9	1	6	29	26	28
7	Chertsey Town	15	7	5	3	33	24	26
8	Gosport Borough	16	7	3	6	25	22	24
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	22	9	22
10	Frome Town	15	5	5	5	24	21	20
11	Taunton Town	13	6	1	6	32	26	19
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
13	Hanwell Town	15	4	5	6	20	22	17
14	Sholing	13	4	4	5	18	20	16
15	Basingstoke	16	4	4	8	25	32	16
16	Evesham United	16	5	1	10	21	34	16
17	Yate Town	15	3	6	6	17	28	15
18	Chippenham Town	15	4	3	8	17	29	15
19	Bracknell Town	17	4	3	10	19	37	15
20	Malvern Town	15	4	2	9	22	38	14
21	Gloucester	13	2	6	5	18	22	12
22	Havant and W	16	3	3	10	20	33	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wimborne Town	Poole Town
Chippenham Town	2-0 W	4-1 W
Gosport Borough	3-0 W	3-1 W
Havant and W	6-3 W	1-0 W
Bracknell Town	2-0 W	1-0 W
Uxbridge	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Wimborne Town (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wimborne Town

WDDWWWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/10	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
20/10	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
13/10	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
10/10	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	6-3	–	–	W
29/09	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
29/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W

Poole Town

WWWWWWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/11	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
31/10	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/10	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
10/10	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
07/10	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
03/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wimborne Town vs Poole Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wimborne Town win (39%). Probabilities: Wimborne Town 39%, draw 27%, Poole Town 34%.

How many goals are expected in Wimborne Town vs Poole Town?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Wimborne Town 1.36 · Poole Town 1.26), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wimborne Town vs Poole Town?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.