Football · England Southern Premier League South · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Gloucester vs Taunton Town

Team pages: Gloucester · Taunton Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

Gloucester2.19

Taunton Town1.52

1X2

52% 23% 25%

Gloucester Draw Taunton Town

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Gloucester 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWDLDLDW

Taunton Town 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLLDL

Head-to-head

Gloucester 0–2–2 Taunton Town (4 last)

Gloucester0-2Taunton Town
Taunton Town2-1Gloucester
Gloucester2-2Taunton Town
Taunton Town3-3Gloucester

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gloucester 1528 · Taunton Town 1506

	Gloucester	Draw	Taunton Town
Our model	52%	22%	26%
Market	51%	24%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Taunton Town: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gloucester	Taunton Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	2.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	2.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.5	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.75

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:47 +18’	1.75	3.75	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gloucester 0–2–2 Taunton Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 England Southern Premier League South	Gloucester	0-2	Taunton Town
27/12/25 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	2-1	Gloucester
04/01/25 England Southern Premier League South	Gloucester	2-2	Taunton Town
10/08/24 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	3-3	Gloucester

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
2	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
3	Plymouth Parkway	10	6	2	2	24	11	20
4	Hanworth Villa	10	6	1	3	18	11	19
5	Bath City	10	5	2	3	14	10	17
6	Frome Town	11	4	4	3	18	14	16
7	Chichester City	10	5	1	4	17	17	16
8	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
9	Wimborne Town	9	4	3	2	16	7	15
10	Chertsey Town	10	4	3	3	22	17	15
11	Gosport Borough	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
12	Taunton Town	10	4	1	5	24	24	13
13	Evesham United	10	4	1	5	14	18	13
14	Basingstoke	10	3	3	4	18	17	12
15	Yate Town	10	3	3	4	13	21	12
16	Sholing	9	3	2	4	10	13	11
17	Bracknell Town	10	3	2	5	11	19	11
18	Hanwell Town	9	2	4	3	9	11	10
19	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
20	Chippenham Town	9	2	2	5	9	18	8
21	Havant and W	10	1	2	7	12	22	5
22	Malvern Town	10	1	2	7	14	29	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gloucester	Taunton Town
Hanworth Villa	3-1 W	0-2 L
Malvern Town	2-5 L	5-2 W
Basingstoke	1-1 D	4-3 W
Hanwell Town	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gloucester

LLDWDLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
22/09	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-5	5	3	L
12/09	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
22/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L

Taunton Town

LWWLWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
22/09	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
29/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	4-3	–	–	W
22/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	4-5	–	–	L
15/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	5-2	8	1	W
08/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	0-1	0-2	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gloucester vs Taunton Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gloucester win (52%). Probabilities: Gloucester 52%, draw 23%, Taunton Town 25%.

How many goals are expected in Gloucester vs Taunton Town?

The model expects 3.71 goals (Gloucester 2.19 · Taunton Town 1.52), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gloucester vs Taunton Town?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.