Football · England Southern Premier League South · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Sholing vs Uxbridge

Team pages: Sholing · Uxbridge

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Sholing1.26

Uxbridge1.32

1X2

35% 28% 38%

Sholing Draw Uxbridge

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sholing 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWLWDL

Uxbridge 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDWLWW

Head-to-head

Sholing 2–0 Uxbridge (2 last)

Uxbridge0-2Sholing
Sholing3-0Uxbridge

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sholing 1528 · Uxbridge 1600

	Sholing	Draw	Uxbridge
Our model	34%	29%	37%
Market	35%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Uxbridge (rating 1528 vs 1600).
H2H favours Sholing: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sholing	Uxbridge
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0	0.6 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4	2.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.40

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:51 +34’	2.55	3.40	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sholing 2–0–0 Uxbridge

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/11/25 England Southern Premier League South	Uxbridge	0-2 HT 0-0	Sholing
23/09/25 England Southern Premier League South	Sholing	3-0 HT 1-0	Uxbridge

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	11	8	0	3	18	12	24
2	Plymouth Parkway	11	7	2	2	26	12	23
3	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
4	Hanworth Villa	11	7	1	3	22	12	22
5	Bath City	11	6	2	3	16	10	20
6	Frome Town	12	5	4	3	20	14	19
7	Chichester City	11	6	1	4	20	19	19
8	Chertsey Town	11	4	4	3	23	18	16
9	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
10	Wimborne Town	10	4	3	3	17	9	15
11	Gosport Borough	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
12	Taunton Town	10	4	1	5	24	24	13
13	Evesham United	11	4	1	6	14	20	13
14	Basingstoke	11	3	3	5	19	21	12
15	Yate Town	11	3	3	5	15	24	12
16	Hanwell Town	10	2	5	3	10	12	11
17	Sholing	10	3	2	5	12	16	11
18	Bracknell Town	11	3	2	6	12	23	11
19	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
20	Havant and W	11	2	2	7	16	23	8
21	Chippenham Town	10	2	2	6	9	20	8
22	Malvern Town	11	2	2	7	17	31	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sholing	Uxbridge
Chichester City	2-3 L	5-0 W
Berkhamsted	2-0 W	0-1 L
Gosport Borough	1-0 W	1-1 D
Bath City	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sholing

LWDLLWLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-3	3	4	L
10/10	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
12/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L

Uxbridge

WWDWWDWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
29/09	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
15/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	0	5	L
12/09	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	2-0	5-0	6	1	W
31/08	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
29/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	5-4	–	–	W
15/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
08/08	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sholing vs Uxbridge?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Uxbridge win (38%). Probabilities: Sholing 35%, draw 28%, Uxbridge 38%.

How many goals are expected in Sholing vs Uxbridge?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Sholing 1.26 · Uxbridge 1.32), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sholing vs Uxbridge?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.