Football · England Southern Premier League South · 21/10, 20:45

Prediction: Frome Town vs Gloucester

Team pages: Frome Town · Gloucester

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Frome Town1.47

Gloucester1.4

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Frome Town Draw Gloucester

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Frome Town 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLDDDWL

Gloucester 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWDLDLDW

Head-to-head

Frome Town 0–1–1 Gloucester (2 last)

Frome Town0-0Gloucester
Gloucester2-0Frome Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frome Town 1500 · Gloucester 1546

	Frome Town	Draw	Gloucester
Our model	38%	27%	35%
Market	39%	25%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gloucester (rating 1500 vs 1546).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frome Town	Gloucester
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/33/0%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.7	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.7	2.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.60

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:03 +39’	2.30	3.60	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Frome Town 0–1–1 Gloucester

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/25 England Southern Premier League South	Frome Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Gloucester
15/10/24 England Southern Premier League South	Gloucester	2-0	Frome Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22	13	27
2	Plymouth Parkway	11	7	2	2	26	12	23
3	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
4	Hanworth Villa	12	7	2	3	24	14	23
5	Bath City	12	7	2	3	18	10	23
6	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
7	Chichester City	12	6	1	5	20	20	19
8	Gosport Borough	12	5	3	4	19	14	18
9	Chertsey Town	11	4	4	3	23	18	16
10	Taunton Town	11	5	1	5	28	25	16
11	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
12	Wimborne Town	10	4	3	3	17	9	15
13	Bracknell Town	12	4	2	6	13	23	14
14	Evesham United	12	4	1	7	15	24	13
15	Basingstoke	12	3	3	6	19	25	12
16	Yate Town	11	3	3	5	15	24	12
17	Sholing	10	3	2	5	12	16	11
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
19	Malvern Town	12	3	2	7	19	31	11
20	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
21	Havant and W	12	2	3	7	18	25	9
22	Chippenham Town	11	2	2	7	10	24	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frome Town	Gloucester
Malvern Town	0-2 L	2-5 L
Plymouth Parkway	0-2 L	1-1 D
Hanwell Town	2-2 D	1-0 W
Chertsey Town	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frome Town

LWWDLDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
13/10	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
10/10	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
30/09	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
22/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-1	4	13	W
22/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L

Gloucester

LLDWDLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
22/09	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-5	5	3	L
12/09	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
22/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frome Town vs Gloucester?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frome Town win (39%). Probabilities: Frome Town 39%, draw 26%, Gloucester 35%.

How many goals are expected in Frome Town vs Gloucester?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Frome Town 1.47 · Gloucester 1.4), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Frome Town vs Gloucester?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.