Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 20/10, 20:45

Prediction: Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers

Team pages: Cheshunt · Cray Wanderers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Cheshunt1.36

Cray Wanderers1.43

1X2

35% 26% 38%

Cheshunt Draw Cray Wanderers

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Cheshunt 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDDLLWDWWD

Cray Wanderers 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWWLDDWL

Head-to-head

Cheshunt 0–3–3 Cray Wanderers (6 last)

Cheshunt1-1Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers0-0Cheshunt
Cray Wanderers2-1Cheshunt
Cheshunt1-1Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers2-1Cheshunt
Cheshunt0-1Cray Wanderers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cheshunt 1491 · Cray Wanderers 1550

	Cheshunt	Draw	Cray Wanderers
Our model	35%	28%	38%
Market	36%	25%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cray Wanderers (rating 1491 vs 1550).
H2H favours Cray Wanderers: 3-3-0.
High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cheshunt	Cray Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.7	1.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	33/0/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.3	2.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.60

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:28 +11’	2.50	3.60	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheshunt 0–3–3 Cray Wanderers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/09/26 England FA Trophy	Cheshunt	1-1	Cray Wanderers
11/08/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	0-0	Cheshunt
28/02/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	2-1	Cheshunt
01/11/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	1-1	Cray Wanderers
15/02/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	2-1	Cheshunt
26/10/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	0-1 HT 0-0	Cray Wanderers

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enfield Town	12	9	1	2	33	16	28
2	Welling	12	9	0	3	24	12	27
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20	14	26
4	Dartford	12	8	0	4	19	14	24
5	Carshalton Ath	14	7	1	6	21	24	22
6	Ramsgate	12	6	1	5	27	17	19
7	Eastbourne Borough	10	6	1	3	19	11	19
8	Burgess Hill Town	11	4	5	2	20	15	17
9	St Albans	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
10	Dulwich	11	5	2	4	20	16	17
11	Wingate & Finchley	11	5	2	4	20	21	17
12	Chatham Town	10	5	0	5	19	14	15
13	Leatherhead	10	4	3	3	18	17	15
14	AFC Whyteleafe	13	4	3	6	20	22	15
15	Cheshunt	12	3	6	3	12	15	15
16	Aveley	12	4	2	6	19	19	14
17	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	19	14	12
18	Maldon Tiptree FC	13	3	1	9	16	34	10
19	Brentwood Town	10	3	0	7	15	19	9
20	Three Bridges	12	2	3	7	23	34	9
21	Whitehawk	13	1	3	9	12	32	6
22	Stanway Rovers	11	1	1	9	9	30	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cheshunt	Cray Wanderers
Lewes	3-1 W	1-2 L
Welling	0-2 L	4-1 W
Eastbourne Borough	0-3 L	2-1 W
St Albans	1-1 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cray Wanderers (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cheshunt

DDDLLWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-1	10	5	D
10/10	Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-1	7	0	W
26/09	Cray Wanderers England FA Trophy	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/09	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
31/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
29/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D

Cray Wanderers

DDLWWLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	1-2	8	4	L
29/09	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	3-0	5-1	4	4	W
26/09	Cheshunt England FA Trophy	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/09	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	3-3	7	3	D
12/09	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
31/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cray Wanderers win (38%). Probabilities: Cheshunt 35%, draw 26%, Cray Wanderers 38%.

How many goals are expected in Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Cheshunt 1.36 · Cray Wanderers 1.43), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.