Football · England Northern Premier League · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Warrington Rylands vs Guiseley

Team pages: Warrington Rylands · Guiseley

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Warrington Rylands1.5

Guiseley1.41

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Warrington Rylands Draw Guiseley

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Warrington Rylands 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWDWWDLW

Guiseley 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWLWW

Head-to-head

Warrington Rylands 3–2–1 Guiseley (6 last)

Warrington Rylands1-0Guiseley
Guiseley0-1Warrington Rylands
Warrington Rylands1-4Guiseley
Warrington Rylands1-1Guiseley
Guiseley2-2Warrington Rylands
Guiseley0-2Warrington Rylands

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Warrington Rylands 1538 · Guiseley 1602

	Warrington Rylands	Draw	Guiseley
Our model	38%	27%	35%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guiseley (rating 1538 vs 1602).
H2H favours Warrington Rylands: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Warrington Rylands	Guiseley
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.9	2.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/25/38%	67/17/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	3.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:16 +3’	2.30	3.50	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Warrington Rylands 3–2–1 Guiseley

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	1-0 HT 1-0	Guiseley
07/10/25 England Northern Premier League	Guiseley	0-1 HT 0-0	Warrington Rylands
30/08/25 England FA Cup Qualification	Warrington Rylands	1-4 HT 1-2	Guiseley
05/04/25 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	1-1 HT 0-1	Guiseley
30/11/24 England Northern Premier League	Guiseley	2-2	Warrington Rylands
06/04/24 England Northern Premier League	Guiseley	0-2 HT 0-0	Warrington Rylands

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	14	9	4	1	31	12	31
2	Cleethorpes Town	13	9	3	1	30	7	30
3	Guiseley	12	8	1	3	25	11	25
4	Avro FC	12	8	1	3	34	23	25
5	Warrington Rylands	14	7	2	5	25	21	23
6	Gainsborough	12	7	1	4	25	16	22
7	Curzon Ashton	12	7	1	4	24	16	22
8	Warrington Town	12	6	4	2	23	18	22
9	Workington	14	6	3	5	24	24	21
10	Lancaster City	14	6	2	6	19	26	20
11	Bury	11	6	1	4	22	11	19
12	Alfreton Town	14	6	1	7	20	16	19
13	Whitby	13	5	1	7	19	33	16
14	Hyde Utd	14	4	3	7	15	25	15
15	Ashton Utd	12	3	5	4	14	13	14
16	Quorn	13	3	5	5	23	29	14
17	Stockton Town	14	3	3	8	17	25	12
18	Leek Town	12	2	5	5	24	25	11
19	Emley AFC	13	2	5	6	12	25	11
20	Bamber Bridge	13	2	4	7	16	32	10
21	FC United of Manchester	12	1	4	7	15	23	7
22	Ilkeston	14	2	1	11	8	34	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Warrington Rylands	Guiseley
Curzon Ashton	5-1 W	2-1 W
Emley AFC	4-1 W	4-0 W
Ilkeston	1-0 W	2-0 W
Stockton Town	1-1 D	3-0 W
Alfreton Town	2-1 W	0-1 L
Workington	2-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Guiseley (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Warrington Rylands

LLWWDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
10/10	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
06/10	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-3	3-3	6	2	D
03/10	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	2-0	4-1	1	2	W
29/09	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
12/09	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
31/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-0	3-1	5	7	W
29/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
25/08	Workington England Northern Premier League	–	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	–	0-5	–	–	L

Guiseley

DWWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
06/10	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-0	7	7	W
29/09	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
12/09	Quorn England Northern Premier League	–	4-1	–	–	W
31/08	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	2-0	4-0	4	5	W
28/08	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
25/08	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
22/08	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
18/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	–	3-2	–	–	W
15/08	Workington England Northern Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Warrington Rylands vs Guiseley?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Warrington Rylands win (39%). Probabilities: Warrington Rylands 39%, draw 26%, Guiseley 35%.

How many goals are expected in Warrington Rylands vs Guiseley?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Warrington Rylands 1.5 · Guiseley 1.41), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Warrington Rylands vs Guiseley?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.