Football · England Northern Premier League · 13/10, 20:45

Prediction: Guiseley vs Cleethorpes Town

Team pages: Guiseley · Cleethorpes Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Guiseley1.3

Cleethorpes Town1.41

1X2

34% 28% 39%

Guiseley Draw Cleethorpes Town

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Guiseley 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWLWW

Cleethorpes Town 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWDDWW

Head-to-head

Guiseley 1–2–1 Cleethorpes Town (4 last)

Cleethorpes Town2-1Guiseley
Guiseley1-1Cleethorpes Town
Guiseley2-1Cleethorpes Town
Cleethorpes Town2-2Guiseley

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guiseley 1598 · Cleethorpes Town 1580

	Guiseley	Draw	Cleethorpes Town
Our model	34%	28%	38%
Market	34%	27%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guiseley	Cleethorpes Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.9	2.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	71/14/14%	38/38/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.1	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.30

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:53 +11’	2.63	3.30	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guiseley 1–2–1 Cleethorpes Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/03/26 England Northern Premier League	Cleethorpes Town	2-1 HT 1-0	Guiseley
15/11/25 England Northern Premier League	Guiseley	1-1 HT 1-0	Cleethorpes Town
09/10/18 England FA Cup Qualification	Guiseley	2-1 HT 0-0	Cleethorpes Town
06/10/18 England FA Cup Qualification	Cleethorpes Town	2-2 HT 0-0	Guiseley

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	13	9	3	1	30	7	30
2	Redcar Athletic	13	8	4	1	28	11	28
3	Guiseley	12	8	1	3	25	11	25
4	Avro FC	11	8	1	2	33	20	25
5	Curzon Ashton	11	7	1	3	23	11	22
6	Workington	13	6	3	4	23	22	21
7	Warrington Rylands	13	6	2	5	20	20	20
8	Bury	11	6	1	4	22	11	19
9	Gainsborough	11	6	1	4	22	15	19
10	Warrington Town	11	5	4	2	22	18	19
11	Alfreton Town	13	6	0	7	20	16	18
12	Lancaster City	13	5	2	6	18	26	17
13	Hyde Utd	13	4	2	7	13	23	14
14	Ashton Utd	11	3	4	4	14	13	13
15	Quorn	12	3	4	5	21	27	13
16	Whitby	12	4	1	7	17	32	13
17	Stockton Town	13	3	3	7	17	24	12
18	Leek Town	12	2	5	5	24	25	11
19	Emley AFC	12	2	4	6	11	24	10
20	Bamber Bridge	12	2	4	6	16	31	10
21	Ilkeston	13	2	1	10	7	31	7
22	FC United of Manchester	11	1	3	7	14	22	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guiseley	Cleethorpes Town
Ilkeston	2-0 W	3-0 W
Alfreton Town	0-1 L	2-1 W
Curzon Ashton	2-1 W	1-3 L
Workington	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cleethorpes Town (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guiseley

DWWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
06/10	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-0	7	7	W
29/09	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
12/09	Quorn England Northern Premier League	–	4-1	–	–	W
31/08	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	2-0	4-0	4	5	W
28/08	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
25/08	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
22/08	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	2-1	2-1	4	7	W
18/08	Bury England Northern Premier League	–	3-2	–	–	W
15/08	Workington England Northern Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D

Cleethorpes Town

WWWLWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	1-0	3-0	7	6	W
06/10	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
03/10	Workington England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
22/09	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
12/09	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
31/08	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	0-0	3-0	3	2	W
28/08	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
25/08	Whitby England Northern Premier League	3-0	6-0	6	2	W
22/08	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	3-0	–	–	W
18/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guiseley vs Cleethorpes Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cleethorpes Town win (39%). Probabilities: Guiseley 34%, draw 28%, Cleethorpes Town 39%.

How many goals are expected in Guiseley vs Cleethorpes Town?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Guiseley 1.3 · Cleethorpes Town 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Guiseley vs Cleethorpes Town?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.