Football · England Northern Premier League · 06/10, 20:45
Prediction: Emley AFC vs Bamber Bridge
Team pages: Emley AFC · Bamber Bridge
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Emley AFC1.77
Bamber Bridge1.69
1X2
Emley AFC
Draw
Bamber Bridge
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Emley AFC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Bamber Bridge
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emley AFC 1423 · Bamber Bridge 1420
| Emley AFC | Draw | Bamber Bridge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 24% | 36% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Emley AFC | Bamber Bridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.2 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/38/38% | 0/57/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3 / 0.4 |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Avro FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 16 | 22 |
| 4 | Workington | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 20 |
| 5 | Guiseley | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Bury | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 16 |
| 10 | Lancaster City | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 16 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 13 | 15 |
| 12 | Hyde Utd | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Gainsborough | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | Whitby | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 12 |
| 15 | Ashton Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 16 | Emley AFC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 10 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 9 |
| 18 | Quorn | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 9 |
| 19 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 9 |
| 20 | Stockton Town | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 7 |
| 22 | FC United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Emley AFC | Bamber Bridge |
|---|---|---|
| Warrington Rylands | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Ashton Utd | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Leek Town | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Curzon Ashton | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emley AFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/09 | Workington England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Bury England Northern Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 31/08 | Guiseley England Northern Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Warrington Town England Northern Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/08 | Leek Town England Northern Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 14/08 | Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/08 | Ilkeston England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Bamber Bridge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Quorn England Northern Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Stockton Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League |
2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 25/08 | FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Leek Town England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/08 | Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 15/08 | Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/08 | Avro FC England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-6 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emley AFC vs Bamber Bridge?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Emley AFC win (39%). Probabilities: Emley AFC 39%, draw 25%, Bamber Bridge 36%.
How many goals are expected in Emley AFC vs Bamber Bridge?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Emley AFC 1.77 · Bamber Bridge 1.69), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Emley AFC vs Bamber Bridge?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.