Football · England Northern Premier League · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: FC United of Manchester vs Whitby

Team pages: FC United of Manchester · Whitby

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

FC United of Manchester2.34

Whitby1.56

1X2

54% 22% 24%

FC United of Manchester Draw Whitby

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC United of Manchester 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLWLDD

Whitby 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLDWW

Head-to-head

FC United of Manchester 3–2–1 Whitby (6 last)

Whitby1-3FC United of Manchester
FC United of Manchester3-1Whitby
FC United of Manchester2-3Whitby
Whitby0-0FC United of Manchester
Whitby1-2FC United of Manchester
FC United of Manchester1-1Whitby

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC United of Manchester 1480 · Whitby 1446

	FC United of Manchester	Draw	Whitby
Our model	54%	21%	25%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC United of Manchester: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC United of Manchester	Whitby
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	1.6 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.2 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	1 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.10

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +17’	1.67	4.10	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC United of Manchester 3–2–1 Whitby

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	1-3	FC United of Manchester
19/08/25 England Northern Premier League	FC United of Manchester	3-1	Whitby
18/04/25 England Northern Premier League	FC United of Manchester	2-3 HT 0-2	Whitby
20/08/24 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	0-0	FC United of Manchester
26/03/24 England Northern Premier League	Whitby	1-2 HT 0-1	FC United of Manchester
23/09/23 England Northern Premier League	FC United of Manchester	1-1 HT 1-1	Whitby

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	15	10	4	1	33	13	34
2	Cleethorpes Town	14	9	3	2	31	9	30
3	Guiseley	13	9	1	3	27	12	28
4	Gainsborough	13	8	1	4	29	16	25
5	Avro FC	13	8	1	4	34	25	25
6	Workington	15	7	3	5	26	25	24
7	Warrington Town	13	6	5	2	24	19	23
8	Warrington Rylands	14	7	2	5	25	21	23
9	Curzon Ashton	13	7	1	5	24	17	22
10	Alfreton Town	15	6	2	7	21	17	20
11	Lancaster City	15	6	2	7	20	28	20
12	Bury	11	6	1	4	22	11	19
13	Whitby	14	6	1	7	20	33	19
14	Hyde Utd	15	4	3	8	15	29	15
15	Leek Town	13	3	5	5	26	26	14
16	Ashton Utd	13	3	5	5	15	15	14
17	Quorn	13	3	5	5	23	29	14
18	Emley AFC	14	3	5	6	15	26	14
19	Stockton Town	15	3	3	9	18	28	12
20	Bamber Bridge	14	2	4	8	17	34	10
21	Ilkeston	15	3	1	11	10	34	10
22	FC United of Manchester	12	1	4	7	15	23	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC United of Manchester	Whitby
Alfreton Town	0-1 L	1-4 L
Warrington Town	4-1 W	0-5 L
Bamber Bridge	1-1 D	0-0 D
Workington	1-2 L	2-1 W
Hyde Utd	0-1 L	3-1 W
Gainsborough	0-3 L	2-6 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC United of Manchester (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC United of Manchester

LLLDLLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
10/10	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
06/10	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
12/09	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
31/08	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	1-1	3-4	4	2	L
29/08	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	–	2-3	–	–	L
25/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
22/08	Workington England Northern Premier League	–	1-2	–	–	L
18/08	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	–	0-3	–	–	L

Whitby

LLWLWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
13/10	Workington England Northern Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
06/10	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	0-3	2-6	3	0	L
29/09	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
12/09	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	0-1	3-1	2	1	W
31/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-2	1-4	1	4	L
29/08	Quorn England Northern Premier League	–	6-3	–	–	W
25/08	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-3	0-6	2	2	L
22/08	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	–	0-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC United of Manchester vs Whitby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC United of Manchester win (54%). Probabilities: FC United of Manchester 54%, draw 22%, Whitby 24%.

How many goals are expected in FC United of Manchester vs Whitby?

The model expects 3.9 goals (FC United of Manchester 2.34 · Whitby 1.56), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC United of Manchester vs Whitby?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.