Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Anstey Nomads vs Worcester City

Team pages: Anstey Nomads · Worcester City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Anstey Nomads1.9

Worcester City1.15

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Anstey Nomads Draw Worcester City

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Anstey Nomads 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDWDWLWW

Worcester City 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDDLLWWW

Head-to-head

Anstey Nomads 0–1 Worcester City (1 last)

Anstey Nomads0-2Worcester City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anstey Nomads 1514 · Worcester City 1511

	Anstey Nomads	Draw	Worcester City
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	54%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Anstey Nomads	Worcester City
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.9	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 1	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/22/22%	38/13/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.2	2.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	2.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.90

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:31 +35’	1.65	3.90	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Anstey Nomads 0–0–1 Worcester City

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/25 England Northern League Division One	Anstey Nomads	0-2 HT 0-2	Worcester City

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	18	13	2	3	47	23	41
2	Bromsgrove	16	11	4	1	34	18	37
3	Bury Town	18	11	3	4	32	27	36
4	Kettering	17	9	4	4	31	19	31
5	Peterborough Sports	17	8	6	3	33	26	30
6	Alvechurch	15	8	5	2	29	14	29
7	Anstey Nomads	16	8	5	3	33	24	29
8	Needham Market	16	8	4	4	36	24	28
9	Rushall Olympic	18	9	1	8	33	29	28
10	Halesowen	15	7	3	5	24	24	24
11	Stourbridge	16	6	4	6	21	23	22
12	Stratford Town	17	5	7	5	24	28	22
13	Racing Club Warwick	17	5	5	7	24	24	20
14	Redditch	15	4	6	5	23	23	18
15	Worcester City	14	4	4	6	17	18	16
16	Hitchin	16	4	4	8	20	24	16
17	Leiston	15	4	3	8	26	33	15
18	Bishop's Stortford	17	4	2	11	19	30	14
19	Banbury	17	3	5	9	19	31	14
20	Leamington	17	3	4	10	24	33	13
21	Leighton Town	15	1	3	11	16	35	6
22	Stamford	16	1	2	13	5	40	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Anstey Nomads	Worcester City
Real Bedford	1-2 L	4-1 W
Rushall Olympic	3-2 W	0-1 L
Needham Market	1-1 D	0-2 L
Racing Club Warwick	3-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Anstey Nomads (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anstey Nomads

WDLDWDWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
07/11	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	5-0	5-3	2	4	W
03/11	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
31/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-1	–	–	W
27/10	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-2	5	9	D
13/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-2	3-2	8	3	W
10/10	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
29/09	Kettering England Southern Premier League Central	1-4	1-4	1	3	L
22/09	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
12/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-2	0	7	W

Worcester City

DLLDDLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/11	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
31/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	4-1	–	–	W
27/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
13/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
10/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
29/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	4	1	D
22/09	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
12/09	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
31/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anstey Nomads vs Worcester City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Anstey Nomads win (54%). Probabilities: Anstey Nomads 54%, draw 24%, Worcester City 22%.

How many goals are expected in Anstey Nomads vs Worcester City?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Anstey Nomads 1.9 · Worcester City 1.15), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Anstey Nomads vs Worcester City?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.