Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 10/11, 20:45

Prediction: Stamford vs Needham Market

Team pages: Stamford · Needham Market

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Stamford0.92

Needham Market2.21

1X2

15% 18% 67%

Stamford Draw Needham Market

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Stamford 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Needham Market 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWWDDW

Head-to-head

Stamford 2–3 Needham Market (5 last)

Needham Market4-0Stamford
Stamford1-0Needham Market
Needham Market4-1Stamford
Needham Market0-3Stamford
Stamford0-3Needham Market

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stamford 1411 · Needham Market 1538

	Stamford	Draw	Needham Market
Our model	14%	21%	66%
Market	16%	16%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Needham Market (rating 1411 vs 1538).
H2H favours Needham Market: 3-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stamford	Needham Market
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 2.6	2.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1.7	1.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	67/11/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.3 / 1	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	2.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

15.75

X5.50

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.93

2 (-1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:57 +3’	5.75	5.50	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stamford 2–0–3 Needham Market

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	4-0 HT 4-0	Stamford
24/01/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Stamford	1-0	Needham Market
20/09/25 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	4-1 HT 1-0	Stamford
09/04/24 England Southern Premier League Central	Needham Market	0-3 HT 0-1	Stamford
24/10/23 England Southern Premier League Central	Stamford	0-3	Needham Market

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	17	12	2	3	43	22	38
2	Bury Town	17	11	2	4	31	26	35
3	Bromsgrove	15	10	4	1	31	16	34
4	Kettering	16	9	4	3	31	18	31
5	Needham Market	16	8	4	4	36	24	28
6	Peterborough Sports	16	7	6	3	32	26	27
7	Rushall Olympic	17	9	0	8	32	28	27
8	Alvechurch	14	7	5	2	27	13	26
9	Anstey Nomads	15	7	5	3	32	24	26
10	Halesowen	14	7	2	5	23	23	23
11	Stourbridge	15	6	4	5	20	21	22
12	Racing Club Warwick	16	5	5	6	23	22	20
13	Stratford Town	16	4	7	5	22	27	19
14	Redditch	14	4	6	4	23	22	18
15	Hitchin	16	4	4	8	20	24	16
16	Leiston	14	4	3	7	25	29	15
17	Banbury	16	3	5	8	18	29	14
18	Worcester City	13	3	4	6	15	17	13
19	Leamington	16	3	4	9	22	30	13
20	Bishop's Stortford	16	4	1	11	18	29	13
21	Leighton Town	15	1	3	11	16	35	6
22	Stamford	16	1	2	13	5	40	5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stamford

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/10	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-4	0	0	L
27/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/10	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-4	–	–	L
13/10	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
10/10	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/09	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-4	0-4	1	2	L
19/09	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	0-4	–	–	L

Needham Market

WWLDWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	4-1	5	6	W
31/10	Redditch England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-3	–	–	D
27/10	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
20/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-1	5	0	W
17/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	2-1	2-1	1	6	W
13/10	Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central	3-0	5-0	10	2	W
10/10	Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
03/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	1-3	3-5	0	5	L
29/09	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	4-0	4-0	5	2	W
12/09	Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stamford vs Needham Market?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Needham Market win (67%). Probabilities: Stamford 15%, draw 18%, Needham Market 67%.

How many goals are expected in Stamford vs Needham Market?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Stamford 0.92 · Needham Market 2.21), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Stamford vs Needham Market?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.