Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 19/10, 20:45

Prediction: Redditch vs Worcester City

Team pages: Redditch · Worcester City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Redditch1.46

Worcester City1.21

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Redditch Draw Worcester City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Redditch 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLWLWDWD

Worcester City 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLDDLL

Head-to-head

Redditch 0–3 Worcester City (3 last)

Worcester City3-1Redditch
Redditch1-4Worcester City
Redditch1-3Worcester City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Redditch 1508 · Worcester City 1480

	Redditch	Draw	Worcester City
Our model	42%	28%	30%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Worcester City: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Redditch	Worcester City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	0.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	29/14/57%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	2.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	2.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 2.10▲	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	3.50 → 2.90▼	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:41 +6’	1.85	3.50	3.50
06:17 +4’	2.10▲	3.40▼	2.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Redditch 0–0–3 Worcester City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Worcester City	3-1	Redditch
03/01/26 England Southern Premier League Central	Redditch	1-4	Worcester City
21/07/18 Club Friendly List	Redditch	1-3 HT 1-1	Worcester City

Standings · England Southern Premier League Central

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Bedford	11	10	1	0	34	11	31
2	Bury Town	12	10	0	2	21	13	30
3	Bromsgrove	12	8	3	1	21	11	27
4	Rushall Olympic	13	8	0	5	27	20	24
5	Peterborough Sports	13	6	5	2	25	18	23
6	Alvechurch	11	6	3	2	18	6	21
7	Needham Market	12	6	2	4	26	18	20
8	Kettering	11	5	4	2	18	9	19
9	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20	16	19
10	Halesowen	10	5	2	3	12	11	17
11	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14	16	16
12	Redditch	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
13	Racing Club Warwick	12	3	5	4	15	16	14
14	Leiston	10	3	3	4	17	17	12
15	Stratford Town	12	2	5	5	12	20	11
16	Leamington	12	2	4	6	16	20	10
17	Bishop's Stortford	11	3	1	7	13	20	10
18	Banbury	12	2	4	6	15	23	10
19	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8	16	7
20	Hitchin	12	1	4	7	8	19	7
21	Leighton Town	11	1	2	8	13	25	5
22	Stamford	12	0	1	11	3	32	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Redditch	Worcester City
Leamington	2-2 D	1-1 D
Racing Club Warwick	2-1 W	2-2 D
Bromsgrove	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Redditch (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Redditch

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	2-0	2-2	8	6	D
10/10	Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	1	5	D
21/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
12/09	Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
31/08	Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	3-1	2	11	W
29/08	Leiston England Southern Premier League Central	0-3	1-3	9	8	L
22/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
15/08	Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
11/08	Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	8	4	D

Worcester City

LLWDLLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
10/10	Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
29/09	Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	2-2	4	1	D
22/09	Banbury England Southern Premier League Central	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
12/09	Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
31/08	Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Leamington England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Stamford England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central	1-0	1-2	4	0	L
11/08	Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central	–	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Redditch vs Worcester City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Redditch win (42%). Probabilities: Redditch 42%, draw 27%, Worcester City 31%.

How many goals are expected in Redditch vs Worcester City?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Redditch 1.46 · Worcester City 1.21), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Redditch vs Worcester City?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.