Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 20/10, 20:45
Prediction: Stourbridge vs Anstey Nomads
Team pages: Stourbridge · Anstey Nomads
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Stourbridge1.41
Anstey Nomads1.56
1X2
Stourbridge
Draw
Anstey Nomads
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Stourbridge
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Anstey Nomads
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stourbridge
0–1
Anstey Nomads
(1 last)
- Anstey Nomads3-2Stourbridge
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stourbridge 1483 · Anstey Nomads 1588
| Stourbridge | Draw | Anstey Nomads | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anstey Nomads (rating 1483 vs 1588).
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stourbridge | Anstey Nomads | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 33/17/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.8 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stourbridge 0–0–1 Anstey Nomads
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 England FA Trophy | Anstey Nomads | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Stourbridge |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 24 |
| 5 | Peterborough Sports | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 23 |
| 6 | Alvechurch | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 | Needham Market | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 20 |
| 8 | Kettering | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 9 | Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 17 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 16 |
| 12 | Redditch | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 14 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 14 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
| 15 | Stratford Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 11 |
| 16 | Leamington | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 10 |
| 17 | Bishop's Stortford | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 10 |
| 18 | Banbury | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 10 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 7 |
| 20 | Hitchin | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 7 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 32 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stourbridge | Anstey Nomads |
|---|---|---|
| Leighton Town | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Racing Club Warwick | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Alvechurch | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Leamington | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Banbury | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Anstey Nomads (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stourbridge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/10 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 29/09 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/09 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Hitchin England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 01/09 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Anstey Nomads
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 29/09 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
1-4 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/09 | Alvechurch England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stourbridge vs Anstey Nomads?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Anstey Nomads win (40%). Probabilities: Stourbridge 34%, draw 26%, Anstey Nomads 40%.
How many goals are expected in Stourbridge vs Anstey Nomads?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Stourbridge 1.41 · Anstey Nomads 1.56), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Stourbridge vs Anstey Nomads?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.