Football · England Southern Premier League Central · 13/10, 20:45
Prediction: Leiston vs Hitchin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Leiston1.77
Hitchin1.02
1X2
Leiston
Draw
Hitchin
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Leiston
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Hitchin
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leiston
4–2–0
Hitchin
(6 last)
- Hitchin1-2Leiston
- Leiston2-0Hitchin
- Hitchin1-1Leiston
- Leiston2-0Hitchin
- Hitchin1-4Leiston
- Leiston0-0Hitchin
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leiston (rating 1511 vs 1453).
- H2H favours Leiston: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leiston | Hitchin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 0.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 17/33/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 2.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 1.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leiston 4–2–0 Hitchin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 England FA Cup | Hitchin | 1-2 | Leiston |
| 25/01/25 England Southern Premier League Central | Leiston | 2-0 | Hitchin |
| 15/10/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Hitchin | 1-1 | Leiston |
| 06/04/24 England Southern Premier League Central | Leiston | 2-0 | Hitchin |
| 11/12/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Hitchin | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Leiston |
| 25/02/23 England Southern Premier League Central | Leiston | 0-0 | Hitchin |
Standings · England Southern Premier League Central
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 21 |
| 5 | Alvechurch | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Kettering | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 16 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Redditch | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Halesowen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| 13 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
| 14 | Racing Club Warwick | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 9 |
| 17 | Banbury | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 9 |
| 18 | Stratford Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
| 20 | Hitchin | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 28 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leiston | Hitchin |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club Warwick | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Peterborough Sports | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Bury Town | 3-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Redditch | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Stourbridge | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Bishop's Stortford | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Leiston (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leiston
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/09 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/09 | Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 12/09 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Rushall Olympic England Southern Premier League Central |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/08 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Anstey Nomads England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Hitchin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Peterborough Sports England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 03/10 | Leamington England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 29/09 | Leighton Town England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 22/09 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 31/08 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Kettering England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Racing Club Warwick England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Redditch England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | Needham Market England Southern Premier League Central |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leiston vs Hitchin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leiston win (54%). Probabilities: Leiston 54%, draw 26%, Hitchin 20%.
How many goals are expected in Leiston vs Hitchin?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Leiston 1.77 · Hitchin 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Leiston vs Hitchin?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.