Football · Argentina Nacional B · 28/07, 01:00
Prediction: CA Atlanta vs Almagro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
CA Atlanta1.44
Almagro0.6
1X2
CA Atlanta
Draw
Almagro
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Atlanta
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Almagro
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Atlanta
2–3–1
Almagro
(6 last)
- Almagro2-0CA Atlanta
- Almagro0-0CA Atlanta
- CA Atlanta1-0Almagro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Atlanta 1538 · Almagro 1519
| CA Atlanta | Draw | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 29% | 14% |
| Market | 57% | 29% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA Atlanta: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Atlanta | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.4 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atlanta 2–3–1 Almagro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 2-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 17/08/25 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 15/04/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Almagro |
| 07/09/24 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 20/04/24 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Almagro |
| 07/05/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Almagro |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 36 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 33 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 15 | 30 |
| 6 | San Martin de Tucuman | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 30 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 29 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 27 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 26 |
| 10 | Nueva Chicago | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 26 |
| 11 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 25 |
| 12 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 25 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 24 |
| 14 | CA Colegiales | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 23 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 22 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 20 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 19 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Atlanta | Almagro |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin de Tucuman | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Atletico Rafaela | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Agropecuario | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Tristan Suarez | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Atlanta (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Atlanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 25/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Almagro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 12/05 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Atlanta vs Almagro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Atlanta win (56%). Probabilities: CA Atlanta 56%, draw 29%, Almagro 14%.
How many goals are expected in CA Atlanta vs Almagro?
The model expects 2.04 goals (CA Atlanta 1.44 · Almagro 0.6), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Atlanta vs Almagro?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.