Prediction: Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 63% | 21% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Port (rating 1528 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Shanghai Port: 4-1-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Port | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 3 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Port 4–1–0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 China Super League | Shanghai Port | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 30/06/25 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Shanghai Port |
| 23/02/25 China Super League | Shanghai Port | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 13/09/24 China Super League | Shanghai Port | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 05/05/24 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Shanghai Port |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Port | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Qingdao West Coast | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Henan | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Shanghai Port (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Port
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Henan China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Shanghai Segenda China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 15/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/06 | Shenzhen Juniors China FA Cup |
3-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Henan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Port win (62%). Probabilities: Shanghai Port 62%, draw 22%, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 16%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Shanghai Port 1.99 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 0.9), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.