Football · China FA Cup · 21/07, 09:00

Prediction: Henan vs Dalian Young Boy

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Henan1.57
Dalian Young Boy1.12
1X2
47% 27% 26%
Henan Draw Dalian Young Boy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Henan 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DLWWWLWLLW
Dalian Young Boy 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLLDWLDLWW
Head-to-head
Henan 1–2 Dalian Young Boy (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Henan 1506 · Dalian Young Boy 1487
HenanDrawDalian Young Boy
Our model47%27%26%
Market47%26%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Dalian Young Boy: 2-0-1.
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HenanDalian Young Boy
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.31.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.83.1 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 04.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Henan 102 Dalian Young Boy

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
China Super League
Dalian Young Boy2-1
HT 0-1
Henan
24/08/25
China Super League
Henan4-0
HT 4-0
Dalian Young Boy
16/04/25
China Super League
Dalian Young Boy1-0
HT 0-0
Henan

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHenanDalian Young Boy
Qingdao Hainiu 5-1 W 1-3 L
Beijing Guoan 2-1 W 0-3 L
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 2-1 W 0-1 L
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1-0 W 1-1 D
Chengdu Rongcheng 0-3 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Henan (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Henan

DLWWWLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Qingdao Hainiu
China Super League
2-0 5-1 61 W
03/07 Yunnan Yukun
China Super League
1-0 1-2 14 L
27/06 Shanghai Port
China Super League
1-1 1-2 24 L
19/06 Jiangxi Lushan
China FA Cup
0-0 2-0 83 W
30/05 Zhejiang
China Super League
0-1 0-2 74 L
23/05 Beijing Guoan
China Super League
0-1 2-1 53 W
19/05 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
China Super League
1-0 2-1 15 W
15/05 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
China Super League
0-0 1-0 92 W
09/05 Chengdu Rongcheng
China Super League
0-1 0-3 43 L
05/05 Chongqing Tonglianglong
China Super League
0-0 1-1 56 D

Dalian Young Boy

LLLDWLDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Shandong Taishan
China Super League
2-1 3-1 62 W
04/07 Wuhan Three Towns
China Super League
1-2 3-2 75 W
28/06 Shanghai Shenhua
China Super League
1-2 1-4 82 L
19/06 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China FA Cup
1-0 1-1 96 D
31/05 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
China Super League
0-1 0-1 94 L
23/05 Chengdu Rongcheng
China Super League
0-0 2-0 37 W
19/05 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
China Super League
1-1 1-1 74 D
15/05 Qingdao West Coast
China Super League
0-1 2-3 73 L
10/05 Qingdao Hainiu
China Super League
0-2 1-3 76 L
06/05 Beijing Guoan
China Super League
0-0 0-3 27 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Henan vs Dalian Young Boy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Henan win (47%). Probabilities: Henan 47%, draw 27%, Dalian Young Boy 26%.

How many goals are expected in Henan vs Dalian Young Boy?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Henan 1.57 · Dalian Young Boy 1.12), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Henan vs Dalian Young Boy?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.