Football · Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur · 14/08, 20:00

Prediction: Jeunesse Canach vs Koeppchen Wormeldange

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Jeunesse Canach1.87

Koeppchen Wormeldange0.83

1X2

62% 22% 16%

Jeunesse Canach Draw Koeppchen Wormeldange

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Jeunesse Canach 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Koeppchen Wormeldange 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Jeunesse Canach 4–2 Koeppchen Wormeldange (6 last)

Jeunesse Canach2-0Koeppchen Wormeldange
Koeppchen Wormeldange3-2Jeunesse Canach
Jeunesse Canach1-0Koeppchen Wormeldange
Koeppchen Wormeldange2-1Jeunesse Canach
Koeppchen Wormeldange1-2Jeunesse Canach
Jeunesse Canach3-0Koeppchen Wormeldange

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jeunesse Canach 1425 · Koeppchen Wormeldange 1491

	Jeunesse Canach	Draw	Koeppchen Wormeldange
Our model	61%	24%	15%
Market	63%	20%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Koeppchen Wormeldange (rating 1425 vs 1491).
H2H favours Jeunesse Canach: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jeunesse Canach	Koeppchen Wormeldange
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.7	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.50

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:06 +3’	1.42	4.50	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeunesse Canach 4–0–2 Koeppchen Wormeldange

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/25 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	Jeunesse Canach	2-0	Koeppchen Wormeldange
27/10/24 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	Koeppchen Wormeldange	3-2	Jeunesse Canach
28/04/24 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	Jeunesse Canach	1-0	Koeppchen Wormeldange
19/11/23 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	Koeppchen Wormeldange	2-1	Jeunesse Canach
24/02/19 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	Koeppchen Wormeldange	1-2	Jeunesse Canach
26/08/18 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	Jeunesse Canach	3-0	Koeppchen Wormeldange

Standings · Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avenir Beggen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Berdenia Berbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Fola Esch	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jeunesse Canach	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Koeppchen Wormeldange	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lorentzweiler	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Luxemburg City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Mamer 32	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Mondercange	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Rodange	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Marisca Mersch	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Bettembourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC The Belval Belvaux	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Remich/Bous	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UT Petange	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	US Feulen	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Jeunesse Canach

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/06	Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale Play-Offs	1-0	1-1	9	7	D
23/05	FC Mamer 32 Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
17/05	Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-2	0-5	2	4	L
10/05	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/05	Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/04	UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
19/04	UT Petange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
12/04	Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
04/04	Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
22/03	US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-3	7	2	L

Koeppchen Wormeldange

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Jeunesse Esch Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
02/06	Grevenmacher Luxembourg Promotion D''Honneur Play-Offs	–	2-1	–	–	W
23/05	Rumelange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	2-4	–	–	L
17/05	US Feulen Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/05	SC Bettembourg Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	FC The Belval Belvaux Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	0-1	–	–	L
26/04	CS Fola Esch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	1-2	–	–	L
19/04	FC Schifflange 95 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/04	FC Marisca Mersch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	2-1	–	–	W
04/04	Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jeunesse Canach vs Koeppchen Wormeldange?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jeunesse Canach win (62%). Probabilities: Jeunesse Canach 62%, draw 22%, Koeppchen Wormeldange 16%.

How many goals are expected in Jeunesse Canach vs Koeppchen Wormeldange?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Jeunesse Canach 1.87 · Koeppchen Wormeldange 0.83), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Jeunesse Canach vs Koeppchen Wormeldange?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.