Football · Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur · 15/11, 16:00

Prediction: FC Mondercange vs SC Bettembourg

Team pages: FC Mondercange · SC Bettembourg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

FC Mondercange1.42

SC Bettembourg2.03

1X2

26% 23% 51%

FC Mondercange Draw SC Bettembourg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Mondercange 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLDWW

SC Bettembourg 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDLLWWWL

Head-to-head

FC Mondercange 2–4 SC Bettembourg (6 last)

SC Bettembourg2-0FC Mondercange
FC Mondercange1-4SC Bettembourg
SC Bettembourg2-1FC Mondercange
FC Mondercange0-2SC Bettembourg
FC Mondercange1-0SC Bettembourg
SC Bettembourg0-1FC Mondercange

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Mondercange 1510 · SC Bettembourg 1513

	FC Mondercange	Draw	SC Bettembourg
Our model	26%	23%	51%
Market	27%	22%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SC Bettembourg: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Mondercange	SC Bettembourg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	2.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	1 / 3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.5 / 3	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.5 / 0	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.10

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:12 +6’	3.40	4.10	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Mondercange 2–0–4 SC Bettembourg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	SC Bettembourg	2-0	FC Mondercange
03/12/25 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	FC Mondercange	1-4	SC Bettembourg
09/03/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	SC Bettembourg	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Mondercange
15/09/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale	FC Mondercange	0-2 HT 0-1	SC Bettembourg
15/05/22 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	FC Mondercange	1-0	SC Bettembourg
05/12/21 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	SC Bettembourg	0-1	FC Mondercange

Standings · Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Mamer 32	11	7	4	0	17	8	25
2	Lorentzweiler	11	6	4	1	21	14	22
3	FC Rodange	11	6	3	2	24	11	21
4	CS Fola Esch	11	6	3	2	19	9	21
5	UT Petange	11	5	4	2	30	25	19
6	FC The Belval Belvaux	11	4	4	3	15	16	16
7	SC Bettembourg	11	4	3	4	23	17	15
8	FC Berdenia Berbourg	11	4	3	4	17	13	15
9	FC Mondercange	11	4	3	4	19	20	15
10	US Feulen	11	4	2	5	20	21	14
11	Avenir Beggen	11	3	3	5	15	14	12
12	FC Luxemburg City	11	3	3	5	15	18	12
13	Koeppchen Wormeldange	11	3	2	6	17	23	11
14	Jeunesse Canach	11	3	2	6	19	29	11
15	Union Remich/Bous	11	2	2	7	10	25	8
16	FC Marisca Mersch	11	1	1	9	8	26	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Mondercange	SC Bettembourg
Koeppchen Wormeldange	4-1 W	2-1 W
FC Marisca Mersch	3-0 W	3-0 W
Union Remich/Bous	3-3 D	4-0 W
FC Berdenia Berbourg	0-1 L	2-3 L
FC Luxemburg City	1-0 W	4-5 L
FC Rodange	0-1 L	1-1 D
FC The Belval Belvaux	2-2 D	4-1 W
US Feulen	3-1 W	1-1 D
Jeunesse Canach	0-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SC Bettembourg (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Mondercange

DLWDLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Koeppchen Wormeldange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	4-1	–	–	W
25/10	FC Marisca Mersch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	3-0	–	–	W
18/10	Union Remich/Bous Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	3-3	–	–	D
11/10	FC Berdenia Berbourg Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	0-1	–	–	L
04/10	FC Luxemburg City Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
27/09	FC Rodange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
13/09	FC The Belval Belvaux Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	2-2	–	–	D
06/09	US Feulen Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	3-1	–	–	W
30/08	Jeunesse Canach Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	0-4	–	–	L
23/08	Lorentzweiler Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	1-1	–	–	D

SC Bettembourg

DDWDLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Avenir Beggen Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	0-2	–	–	L
25/10	Koeppchen Wormeldange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	2-1	–	–	W
18/10	FC Marisca Mersch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	3-0	–	–	W
11/10	Union Remich/Bous Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	4-0	–	–	W
04/10	FC Berdenia Berbourg Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	2-3	–	–	L
27/09	FC Luxemburg City Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	1-3	4-5	5	6	L
13/09	FC Rodange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	FC The Belval Belvaux Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	4-1	–	–	W
30/08	US Feulen Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/08	Jeunesse Canach Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Mondercange vs SC Bettembourg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SC Bettembourg win (51%). Probabilities: FC Mondercange 26%, draw 23%, SC Bettembourg 51%.

How many goals are expected in FC Mondercange vs SC Bettembourg?

The model expects 3.45 goals (FC Mondercange 1.42 · SC Bettembourg 2.03), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Mondercange vs SC Bettembourg?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.