Football · Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur · 15/11, 16:00

Prediction: CS Fola Esch vs Union Remich/Bous

Team pages: CS Fola Esch

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

CS Fola Esch2

Union Remich/Bous0.79

1X2

66% 21% 14%

CS Fola Esch Draw Union Remich/Bous

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Fola Esch 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDWLWWWDLW

Union Remich/Bous 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLLDLL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Fola Esch 1541 · Union Remich/Bous 1429

	CS Fola Esch	Draw	Union Remich/Bous
Our model	65%	22%	13%
Market	66%	19%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Fola Esch (rating 1541 vs 1429).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Fola Esch	Union Remich/Bous
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.7	1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	5.5 / 8	1 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.5	6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.75

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:10 +8’	1.36	4.75	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Mamer 32	11	7	4	0	17	8	25
2	Lorentzweiler	11	6	4	1	21	14	22
3	FC Rodange	11	6	3	2	24	11	21
4	CS Fola Esch	11	6	3	2	19	9	21
5	UT Petange	11	5	4	2	30	25	19
6	FC The Belval Belvaux	11	4	4	3	15	16	16
7	SC Bettembourg	11	4	3	4	23	17	15
8	FC Berdenia Berbourg	11	4	3	4	17	13	15
9	FC Mondercange	11	4	3	4	19	20	15
10	US Feulen	11	4	2	5	20	21	14
11	Avenir Beggen	11	3	3	5	15	14	12
12	FC Luxemburg City	11	3	3	5	15	18	12
13	Koeppchen Wormeldange	11	3	2	6	17	23	11
14	Jeunesse Canach	11	3	2	6	19	29	11
15	Union Remich/Bous	11	2	2	7	10	25	8
16	FC Marisca Mersch	11	1	1	9	8	26	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Fola Esch	Union Remich/Bous
FC Berdenia Berbourg	1-0 W	0-3 L
FC Luxemburg City	1-2 L	1-0 W
FC Rodange	2-2 D	0-3 L
Avenir Beggen	2-1 W	2-2 D
FC Mamer 32	0-0 D	0-1 L
UT Petange	0-0 D	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CS Fola Esch (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Fola Esch

DDWLWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Berdenia Berbourg Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	1-0	–	–	W
25/10	FC Luxemburg City Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	1-2	–	–	L
18/10	FC Rodange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	FC The Belval Belvaux Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	3-0	–	–	W
04/10	US Feulen Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	2-0	2-1	10	4	W
27/09	Jeunesse Canach Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	0-0	2-0	6	8	W
13/09	Lorentzweiler Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Avenir Beggen Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	2-1	–	–	W
30/08	FC Mamer 32 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	0-0	–	–	D
23/08	UT Petange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	0-0	–	–	D

Union Remich/Bous

LWLDWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Mamer 32 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	0-1	–	–	L
25/10	UT Petange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	2-4	–	–	L
18/10	FC Mondercange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	3-3	–	–	D
11/10	SC Bettembourg Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	0-4	–	–	L
04/10	Koeppchen Wormeldange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	0-1	1-3	4	8	L
27/09	FC Marisca Mersch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
13/09	Avenir Beggen Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	2-2	–	–	D
06/09	FC Berdenia Berbourg Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	0-3	–	–	L
30/08	FC Luxemburg City Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	1-0	–	–	W
23/08	FC Rodange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur	–	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Fola Esch vs Union Remich/Bous?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Fola Esch win (66%). Probabilities: CS Fola Esch 66%, draw 21%, Union Remich/Bous 14%.

How many goals are expected in CS Fola Esch vs Union Remich/Bous?

The model expects 2.78 goals (CS Fola Esch 2 · Union Remich/Bous 0.79), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Fola Esch vs Union Remich/Bous?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.