Football · Brazil Copa Gaucho · 24/07, 01:00

Prediction: Brasil de Pelotas vs Gramadense

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Brasil de Pelotas1.47
Gramadense0.81
1X2
52% 28% 20%
Brasil de Pelotas Draw Gramadense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Brasil de Pelotas 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DWLDDWDDWL
Gramadense 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLWDWWDWLW
Head-to-head
Brasil de Pelotas 0–1 Gramadense (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brasil de Pelotas 1505 · Gramadense 1522
Brasil de PelotasDrawGramadense
Our model52%29%19%
Market52%28%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Brasil de PelotasGramadense
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.91.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 7.41.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.45.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brasil de Pelotas 001 Gramadense

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
12/07/26
Brazil Copa Gaucho
Gramadense1-0
HT 0-0
Brasil de Pelotas

Standings · Brazil Copa Gaucho · Copa FGF 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brasil de Pelotas 6420 12414
2 GE Bage 6222 668
3 Guarany de Bage 6132 686
4 Brasil de Farroupilha 6033 393

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrasil de PelotasGramadense
Santa Cruz RS 1-0 W 2-2 D
Brasil de Farroupilha 4-0 W 1-0 W
GE Bage 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Brasil de Pelotas (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brasil de Pelotas

DWLDDWDDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Gramadense
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 0-1 75 L
05/07 Santa Cruz RS
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-0 119 W
27/06 Santa Cruz RS
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-1 1-1 53 D
17/06 Guarany de Bage
Brazil Copa Gaucho
1-1 3-3 D
11/06 Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazil Copa Gaucho
3-0 4-0 125 W
07/06 Azuriz FC
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 D
04/06 GE Bage
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-1 35 D
31/05 Blumenau EC
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-2 106 L
28/05 GE Bage
Brazil Copa Gaucho
1-0 1-0 212 W
24/05 Sao Joseense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 92 D

Gramadense

LLWDWWDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-0 25 W
05/07 GE Bage
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-1 0-1 54 L
27/06 GE Bage
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-0 18 W
17/06 Santa Cruz RS
Brazil Copa Gaucho
2-2 2-2 25 D
11/06 Monsoon
Brazil Copa Gaucho
1-0 1-0 59 W
07/06 Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-0 1-0 34 W
30/05 Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazil Copa Gaucho
2-0 2-2 45 D
24/05 Monsoon
Brazil Copa Gaucho
0-1 2-1 86 W
13/05 Santa Cruz RS
Brazil Copa Gaucho
1-0 1-2 34 L
06/08 Novo Hamburgo
Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
0-2 1-5 13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brasil de Pelotas vs Gramadense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brasil de Pelotas win (52%). Probabilities: Brasil de Pelotas 52%, draw 28%, Gramadense 20%.

How many goals are expected in Brasil de Pelotas vs Gramadense?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Brasil de Pelotas 1.47 · Gramadense 0.81), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Brasil de Pelotas vs Gramadense?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.