Football · Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1 · 15/11, 13:00

Prediction: Beykoz Ishaklispor vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor

Team pages: Beykoz Ishaklispor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Beykoz Ishaklispor1.08

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor1.37

1X2

29% 29% 43%

Beykoz Ishaklispor Draw Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Beykoz Ishaklispor 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLDDDL

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWLLDD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beykoz Ishaklispor 1420 · Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor 1517

	Beykoz Ishaklispor	Draw	Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor
Our model	28%	30%	42%
Market	29%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor (rating 1420 vs 1517).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Beykoz Ishaklispor	Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.7	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 2.8	1 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.4	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.20

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:56 +19’	3.10	3.20	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1 · 3. Lig 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fatsa Belediyespor	11	7	3	1	19	7	24
2	Pazarspor	11	5	4	2	14	8	19
3	Kucukcekmece Sinopspor	11	5	4	2	17	14	19
4	Kartal Bulvarspor	11	4	4	3	19	13	16
5	Amasyaspor FK	11	4	4	3	12	12	16
6	Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor	11	4	3	4	14	16	15
7	Inkilap	11	4	3	4	16	19	15
8	Karadeniz Eregli	11	3	6	2	8	11	15
9	Duzcespor	11	3	5	3	16	14	14
10	Orduspor 1967	11	3	5	3	17	16	14
11	Beykoz Anadoluspor	11	3	5	3	14	13	14
12	Galataspor	11	3	5	3	12	11	14
13	Silivrispor	11	4	2	5	13	14	14
14	Zonguldak Komurspor	11	3	4	4	15	15	13
15	Yalova 77	11	3	4	4	17	21	13
16	Tokat Belediye Plevnespor	11	3	3	5	11	15	12
17	Golcukspor	11	1	6	4	13	18	9
18	Beykoz Ishaklispor	11	0	4	7	9	19	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Beykoz Ishaklispor	Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor
Tokat Belediye Plevnespor	1-2 L	0-0 D
Duzcespor	1-1 D	1-4 L
Kucukcekmece Sinopspor	2-2 D	4-0 W
Pazarspor	0-0 D	1-0 W
Zonguldak Komurspor	1-2 L	2-1 W
Orduspor 1967	0-3 L	1-1 D
Yalova 77	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beykoz Ishaklispor

LLDLLLDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	Tokat Belediye Plevnespor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
07/11	Duzcespor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
01/11	Kucukcekmece Sinopspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	0-1	2-2	1	2	D
24/10	Pazarspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/10	Zonguldak Komurspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
11/10	Inkilap Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
03/10	Galataspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
27/09	Beykoz Anadoluspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
20/09	Orduspor 1967 Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	Yalova 77 Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	1-1	1-2	4	6	L

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor

WDWLWWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	Orduspor 1967 Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
07/11	Tokat Belediye Plevnespor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
01/11	Yalova 77 Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
24/10	Duzcespor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
18/10	Silivrispor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
11/10	Kucukcekmece Sinopspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	1-0	4-0	2	4	W
03/10	Amasyaspor FK Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
27/09	Pazarspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	Karadeniz Eregli Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Zonguldak Komurspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 1	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beykoz Ishaklispor vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor win (43%). Probabilities: Beykoz Ishaklispor 29%, draw 29%, Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor 43%.

How many goals are expected in Beykoz Ishaklispor vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Beykoz Ishaklispor 1.08 · Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor 1.37), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Beykoz Ishaklispor vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu Spor?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.