Football · Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz · 14/11, 11:00

Prediction: Ankaraspor vs Aliaga Futbol AS

Team pages: Ankaraspor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Ankaraspor1.37
Aliaga Futbol AS1.72
1X2
30% 25% 45%
Ankaraspor Draw Aliaga Futbol AS
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Ankaraspor 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLWLLWLW
Aliaga Futbol AS 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWWWWWLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ankaraspor 1472 · Aliaga Futbol AS 1574
AnkarasporDrawAliaga Futbol AS
Our model30%26%45%
Market30%25%45%
Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aliaga Futbol AS (rating 1472 vs 1574).
  • Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AnkarasporAliaga Futbol AS
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.81.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.71 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.52.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.8 / 04.6 / 0.1

Standings · Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz · 2. Lig 26/27, Beyaz Grup

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Elazigspor 10811 28725
2 Guzide Gebzespor 10730 211124
3 Mus Spor FC 10721 291323
4 Aliaga Futbol AS 10712 191422
5 Corluspor 1947 10622 191020
6 Inegol Kafkasspor 10613 201519
7 Sanliurfaspor 10532 201218
8 Erbaaspor 10514 201516
9 Menemen 10424 121114
10 Sebat Genclikspor 10334 201512
11 Ankaraspor 10406 141812
12 Isparta 32 Spor 10325 162111
13 Somaspor 10325 111811
14 68 Yeni Aksarayspor 10235 16169
15 Kastamonuspor 10217 7324
16 Arnavutkoy Belediyesi 10019 522-2
17 Hatayspor 10118 418-5
18 Adana Demirspor 10217 922-50

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAnkarasporAliaga Futbol AS
Mus Spor FC 2-4 L 0-0 D
Inegol Kafkasspor 1-2 L 2-3 L
68 Yeni Aksarayspor 1-0 W 2-1 W
Somaspor 0-1 L 2-1 W
Menemen 0-3 L 1-0 W
Erbaaspor 2-1 W 4-2 W
Sanliurfaspor 0-1 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 5 L 5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Aliaga Futbol AS (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ankaraspor

LWLLWLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Adana Demirspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
2-1 3-2 26 W
01/11 Sebat Genclikspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-1 0-3 55 L
24/10 Kastamonuspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
3-1 5-1 78 W
18/10 Mus Spor FC
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
2-1 2-4 –– L
10/10 Inegol Kafkasspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-0 1-2 –– L
04/10 68 Yeni Aksarayspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-0 1-0 –– W
26/09 Somaspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-1 0-1 86 L
19/09 Menemen
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-1 0-3 010 L
13/09 Erbaaspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
1-1 2-1 56 W
06/09 Sanliurfaspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-0 0-1 –– L

Aliaga Futbol AS

WWLWWWWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Mus Spor FC
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-0 0-0 47 D
01/11 Inegol Kafkasspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
1-2 2-3 64 L
24/10 68 Yeni Aksarayspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
1-0 2-1 53 W
18/10 Somaspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
2-1 2-1 85 W
10/10 Menemen
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-0 1-0 29 W
03/10 Erbaaspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
2-0 4-2 –– W
27/09 Sanliurfaspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-0 2-1 25 W
19/09 Elazigspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
0-3 0-5 –– L
13/09 Isparta 32 Spor
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
1-0 2-0 61 W
06/09 Arnavutkoy Belediyesi
Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz
3-1 4-1 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ankaraspor vs Aliaga Futbol AS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Aliaga Futbol AS win (45%). Probabilities: Ankaraspor 30%, draw 25%, Aliaga Futbol AS 45%.

How many goals are expected in Ankaraspor vs Aliaga Futbol AS?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Ankaraspor 1.37 · Aliaga Futbol AS 1.72), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ankaraspor vs Aliaga Futbol AS?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.