Football · Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 · 15/11, 11:00
Prediction: Alanya 1221 FSK vs Denizli Idman Yurdu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Alanya 1221 FSK1.28
Denizli Idman Yurdu1.25
1X2
Alanya 1221 FSK
Draw
Denizli Idman Yurdu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Alanya 1221 FSK
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Denizli Idman Yurdu
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alanya 1221 FSK
0–1–1
Denizli Idman Yurdu
(2 last)
- Alanya 1221 FSK0-0Denizli Idman Yurdu
- Denizli Idman Yurdu1-0Alanya 1221 FSK
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alanya 1221 FSK 1439 · Denizli Idman Yurdu 1441
| Alanya 1221 FSK | Draw | Denizli Idman Yurdu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alanya 1221 FSK | Denizli Idman Yurdu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 0.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.5 | 1.5 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7 / 1 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alanya 1221 FSK 0–1–1 Denizli Idman Yurdu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Türkiye 3.Lig Group 4 | Alanya 1221 FSK | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Denizli Idman Yurdu |
| 17/12/25 Türkiye 3.Lig Group 4 | Denizli Idman Yurdu | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Alanya 1221 FSK |
Standings · Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 · 3. Lig 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eskisehirspor | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Etimesgutspor | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Balikesirspor | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 23 |
| 4 | Bursa Niluferspor | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Eskisehir Anadolu SF | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | Karsiyaka | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 21 |
| 8 | Bigaspor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 20 |
| 9 | Bursa Yildirimspor | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
| 10 | Gaziemirspor | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 13 |
| 11 | Altay SK Izmir | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 10 |
| 12 | Soke 1970 SK | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 9 |
| 13 | Bucaspor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 8 |
| 14 | Kepez Belediyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 8 |
| 15 | Denizli Idman Yurdu | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 8 |
| 16 | Alanya 1221 FSK | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 8 |
| 17 | Utas Usakspor | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 18 | 1922 Aksehir Spor Kulubu | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alanya 1221 FSK | Denizli Idman Yurdu |
|---|---|---|
| Soke 1970 SK | 3-3 D | 3-3 D |
| Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor | 4-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Eskisehir Anadolu SF | 1-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Kepez Belediyespor | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Gaziemirspor | 2-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Bursa Yildirimspor | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Alanya 1221 FSK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alanya 1221 FSK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Soke 1970 SK Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
2-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 07/11 | Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
3-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/11 | Eskisehir Anadolu SF Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | Kepez Belediyespor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/10 | Gaziemirspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 11/10 | Bursa Yildirimspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Altay SK Izmir Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 26/09 | Etimesgutspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | 1922 Aksehir Spor Kulubu Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Balikesirspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Denizli Idman Yurdu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Bucaspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 07/11 | Bursa Niluferspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/11 | Karsiyaka Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-4 | 0-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/10 | Bigaspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/10 | Soke 1970 SK Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
2-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Eskisehir Anadolu SF Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Kepez Belediyespor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | Gaziemirspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Bursa Yildirimspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alanya 1221 FSK vs Denizli Idman Yurdu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alanya 1221 FSK win (37%). Probabilities: Alanya 1221 FSK 37%, draw 28%, Denizli Idman Yurdu 35%.
How many goals are expected in Alanya 1221 FSK vs Denizli Idman Yurdu?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Alanya 1221 FSK 1.28 · Denizli Idman Yurdu 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Alanya 1221 FSK vs Denizli Idman Yurdu?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.