Football · Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 · 15/11, 13:00

Prediction: Utas Usakspor vs Soke 1970 SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Utas Usakspor1.47

Soke 1970 SK1.19

1X2

43% 28% 30%

Utas Usakspor Draw Soke 1970 SK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Utas Usakspor 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDDLLL

Soke 1970 SK 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

WDDDLDLLDD

Head-to-head

Utas Usakspor 1–1 Soke 1970 SK (2 last)

Utas Usakspor2-0Soke 1970 SK
Soke 1970 SK4-1Utas Usakspor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Utas Usakspor 1443 · Soke 1970 SK 1452

	Utas Usakspor	Draw	Soke 1970 SK
Our model	42%	28%	29%
Market	43%	27%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Utas Usakspor	Soke 1970 SK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.4	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	3.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.30

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:18 +13’	2.10	3.30	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Utas Usakspor 1–0–1 Soke 1970 SK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Türkiye 3.Lig Group 4	Utas Usakspor	2-0 HT 1-0	Soke 1970 SK
19/10/25 Türkiye 3.Lig Group 4	Soke 1970 SK	4-1 HT 3-1	Utas Usakspor

Standings · Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 · 3. Lig 26/27, Group 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eskisehirspor	11	7	3	1	31	10	24
2	Etimesgutspor	11	7	2	2	19	6	23
3	Balikesirspor	11	7	2	2	30	18	23
4	Bursa Niluferspor	11	6	4	1	20	6	22
5	Eskisehir Anadolu SF	11	6	3	2	18	8	21
6	Karsiyaka	11	6	3	2	17	7	21
7	Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor	11	6	3	2	17	12	21
8	Bigaspor	11	6	2	3	18	13	20
9	Bursa Yildirimspor	11	5	5	1	15	10	20
10	Gaziemirspor	11	4	1	6	14	20	13
11	Altay SK Izmir	11	2	4	5	8	20	10
12	Soke 1970 SK	11	1	6	4	15	22	9
13	Bucaspor	11	2	2	7	9	16	8
14	Kepez Belediyespor	11	2	2	7	8	16	8
15	Denizli Idman Yurdu	11	1	5	5	6	20	8
16	Alanya 1221 FSK	11	2	2	7	12	27	8
17	Utas Usakspor	11	1	4	6	9	15	7
18	1922 Aksehir Spor Kulubu	11	1	1	9	7	27	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Utas Usakspor	Soke 1970 SK
Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor	0-1 L	1-1 D
Eskisehir Anadolu SF	0-1 L	1-1 D
Kepez Belediyespor	0-2 L	1-1 D
Gaziemirspor	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Soke 1970 SK (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Utas Usakspor

DLWLLDDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
07/11	Eskisehir Anadolu SF Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
31/10	Kepez Belediyespor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
25/10	Gaziemirspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/10	Bursa Yildirimspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
11/10	Altay SK Izmir Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Etimesgutspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
27/09	1922 Aksehir Spor Kulubu Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
19/09	Balikesirspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-0	1-4	2	3	L
13/09	Eskisehirspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-0	2-2	–	–	D

Soke 1970 SK

WDDDLDLLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	Alanya 1221 FSK Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-2	3-3	–	–	D
07/11	Bucaspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
01/11	Bursa Niluferspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-3	1-7	–	–	L
24/10	Karsiyaka Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-2	1-2	2	7	L
18/10	Denizli Idman Yurdu Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-2	3-3	–	–	D
11/10	Bigaspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
03/10	Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Eskisehir Anadolu SF Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	Kepez Belediyespor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Gaziemirspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Utas Usakspor vs Soke 1970 SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Utas Usakspor win (43%). Probabilities: Utas Usakspor 43%, draw 28%, Soke 1970 SK 30%.

How many goals are expected in Utas Usakspor vs Soke 1970 SK?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Utas Usakspor 1.47 · Soke 1970 SK 1.19), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Utas Usakspor vs Soke 1970 SK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.