Football · Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 · 15/11, 11:00

Prediction: Etimesgutspor vs Gaziemirspor

Team pages: Etimesgutspor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Etimesgutspor2.03

Gaziemirspor0.94

1X2

62% 22% 16%

Etimesgutspor Draw Gaziemirspor

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Etimesgutspor 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDDWLWW

Gaziemirspor 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLDLLW

Head-to-head

Etimesgutspor 1–1–0 Gaziemirspor (2 last)

Gaziemirspor2-2Etimesgutspor
Etimesgutspor1-0Gaziemirspor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Etimesgutspor 1559 · Gaziemirspor 1466

	Etimesgutspor	Draw	Gaziemirspor
Our model	62%	23%	16%
Market	62%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Etimesgutspor (rating 1559 vs 1466).
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Etimesgutspor	Gaziemirspor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.6	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 7.3	1.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.3	5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.20

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:57 +9’	1.44	4.20	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Etimesgutspor 1–1–0 Gaziemirspor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/25 Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	Gaziemirspor	2-2 HT 2-0	Etimesgutspor
20/10/24 Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	Etimesgutspor	1-0 HT 0-0	Gaziemirspor

Standings · Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2 · 3. Lig 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eskisehirspor	11	7	3	1	31	10	24
2	Etimesgutspor	11	7	2	2	19	6	23
3	Balikesirspor	11	7	2	2	30	18	23
4	Bursa Niluferspor	11	6	4	1	20	6	22
5	Eskisehir Anadolu SF	11	6	3	2	18	8	21
6	Karsiyaka	11	6	3	2	17	7	21
7	Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor	11	6	3	2	17	12	21
8	Bigaspor	11	6	2	3	18	13	20
9	Bursa Yildirimspor	11	5	5	1	15	10	20
10	Gaziemirspor	11	4	1	6	14	20	13
11	Altay SK Izmir	11	2	4	5	8	20	10
12	Soke 1970 SK	11	1	6	4	15	22	9
13	Bucaspor	11	2	2	7	9	16	8
14	Kepez Belediyespor	11	2	2	7	8	16	8
15	Denizli Idman Yurdu	11	1	5	5	6	20	8
16	Alanya 1221 FSK	11	2	2	7	12	27	8
17	Utas Usakspor	11	1	4	6	9	15	7
18	1922 Aksehir Spor Kulubu	11	1	1	9	7	27	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Etimesgutspor	Gaziemirspor
1922 Aksehir Spor Kulubu	2-0 W	3-1 W
Balikesirspor	2-2 D	1-3 L
Eskisehirspor	1-1 D	0-5 L
Utas Usakspor	1-0 W	1-1 D
Alanya 1221 FSK	3-0 W	1-2 L
Bursa Niluferspor	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Etimesgutspor (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Etimesgutspor

LWWWDDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	Bursa Yildirimspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	1-1	4-1	8	5	W
07/11	Altay SK Izmir Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	3-0	3-0	–	–	W
01/11	Bigaspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
24/10	1922 Aksehir Spor Kulubu Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/10	Balikesirspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	2-1	2-2	4	11	D
11/10	Eskisehirspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Utas Usakspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
26/09	Alanya 1221 FSK Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
20/09	Bucaspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-0	2-0	10	4	W
13/09	Bursa Niluferspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Gaziemirspor

LWWLWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	1922 Aksehir Spor Kulubu Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	2-0	3-1	3	8	W
07/11	Balikesirspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
01/11	Eskisehirspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-5	0-5	–	–	L
25/10	Utas Usakspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/10	Alanya 1221 FSK Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	1-1	1-2	4	9	L
11/10	Bucaspor 1928 Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	1-0	2-1	10	2	W
03/10	Bursa Niluferspor Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
26/09	Karsiyaka Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
20/09	Denizli Idman Yurdu Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	1-0	5-0	3	6	W
12/09	Soke 1970 SK Türkiye 3.Lig Group 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Etimesgutspor vs Gaziemirspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Etimesgutspor win (62%). Probabilities: Etimesgutspor 62%, draw 22%, Gaziemirspor 16%.

How many goals are expected in Etimesgutspor vs Gaziemirspor?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Etimesgutspor 2.03 · Gaziemirspor 0.94), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Etimesgutspor vs Gaziemirspor?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.